0xeBABa6D3C08C5FfF3d444cE0F751E6D97F15CFf5-1779341123078
0xebaba6d3c08c5fff3d444ce0f751e6d97f15cff5
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $371.8k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.680 | $1.3k | +$323.12 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · No | 0.955 | 0.987 | $1.2k | +$37.41 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.023 | $46.00 | −$744.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.463Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.9kat 0.657Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.896Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$882.32at 0.898Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
- +$635.81at 0.901Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 15:03 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $35.23 |
| 09-18 02:27 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $1.1k |
| 09-10 21:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 09-10 21:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.40 |
| 09-10 21:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.02212791 | $6.92 |
| 09-10 21:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.92 |
| 09-10 21:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.0232459949 | $16.06 |
| 09-10 21:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.0204755043 | $35.52 |
| 09-10 21:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.41 | $123.44 |
| 09-10 21:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.3611058857 | $884.71 |
| 09-10 21:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.42 | $336.05 |
| 09-10 08:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.2816912766 | $667.89 |
| 09-08 06:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.6 | $151.90 |
| 09-08 05:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.183 | $183.00 |
| 09-07 01:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.66 | $395.99 |