PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.026. down 0.039 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.003 to 0.135. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0492222
0.050129151
0.06257208
0.205135343
0.20630373
0.288100473
0.28970543
0.29115558
0.292141699
0.2945704
0.29730734
0.3514001,134

Spread0.045Mid0.027

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004231231
0.0035,0005,231
0.002155,246
0.0011715,417

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996231231
0.9975,0005,231
0.998155,246
0.9991715,417

Spread0.045Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9512222
0.950129151
0.93857208
0.795135343
0.79430373
0.712100473
0.71170543
0.70915558
0.708141699
0.7065704
0.70330734
0.6494001,134

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
resilience26Yes129
AJSVYes69.3
Numitus1994Yes57
2B9SYes50
smidiaYes21.96
AlexielLucifenYes19
sanduspaceYes12.84
ramc2005Yes10.68
bjproloYes10
jackli003Yes5
lolzzzlolYes4
0xa5ef…2966No348.72
cigarettesNo40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:53:21BUYYes0.00419$0.08
08:52:48SELLYes0.0030$0.00
00:34:59SELLYes0.0025$0.01
23:17:17BUYNo0.99713$12.76
23:17:05BUYNo0.996001818222$21.91
23:17:05BUYNo0.9910$9.90
06:42:39BUYNo0.97100$97.00
06:42:38BUYNo0.9714$13.58
06:42:38BUYNo0.9715$14.55
10:14:53BUYNo0.9517$15.78
10:14:53BUYNo0.9518$17.48
07:51:57BUYNo0.959$8.55
15:18:12BUYNo0.9420$18.80
14:25:53SELLYes0.076$0.42
11:49:00BUYYes0.0730$2.10
08:35:32BUYNo0.9410$9.40
14:11:02SELLNo0.664$2.64
14:03:11BUYNo0.862$1.71
14:00:49SELLNo0.8619$16.34
13:57:26BUYYes0.06999999825$1.77
13:32:27BUYNo0.865$4.30
13:32:27BUYNo0.869$7.74
13:32:27BUYNo0.865$4.31
11:23:27BUYNo0.9411$10.04
08:46:14BUYNo0.976$5.82