PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 5%-10%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.136. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.131. Range 0.129 to 0.178. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.15433
0.1952024
0.6293054
0.6302074
0.6432094
0.6446100
0.82740140
0.8287147
0.829195342
0.83011,76512,106
0.87019,23131,337
0.91027,77859,115

Spread0.037Mid0.136

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1172020
0.102100120
0.10021141
0.00546187
0.004203390
0.003340730
0.0027101,440
0.0016,6298,069

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8832020
0.898100120
0.90021141
0.99546187
0.996203390
0.997340730
0.9987101,440
0.9996,6298,069

Spread0.037Mid0.865

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84633
0.8052024
0.3713054
0.3702074
0.3572094
0.3566100
0.17340140
0.1727147
0.171195342
0.17011,76512,106
0.13019,23131,337
0.09027,77859,115

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
villa20Yes299.99
xtxpleasecallmeYes227.82
fkpaYes123.87
LornaPredictsYes70
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40
a5533Yes20
lolzzzlolYes3.46
PPMTYes1.92
0xa5ef…2966No447.85
0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754No219
pootytherewardfarmerNo66.2
cigarettesNo40
CarabaoNo6.36
0xd4eb…744fNo5.86
0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295No1.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:12:21BUYYes0.15399999468$1.19
18:30:21SELLYes0.14795$13.98
18:15:01BUYNo0.85299997836$5.00
18:15:01BUYNo0.8529086758219$186.79
01:13:18SELLNo0.80428$22.53
02:09:41BUYYes0.146999998$1.16
13:10:59BUYNo0.843999995411$9.44
13:10:59BUYNo0.8435620$16.87
13:10:59BUYNo0.843999995411$9.44
12:39:20BUYNo0.79816$12.76
13:36:33BUYYes0.20999999669$1.86
04:01:35BUYYes0.18699998136$1.19
19:50:11BUYNo0.82320$16.46
19:50:11BUYNo0.82240$32.88
01:42:30BUYYes0.1926$1.15
22:38:29SELLNo0.8324$19.92
22:13:21SELLYes0.1634$0.65
22:13:20BUYYes0.17224$4.13
22:13:20BUYYes0.172100$17.20
06:08:33SELLYes0.20320$4.06
06:08:30BUYNo0.79620$15.92
06:08:30BUYNo0.79620$15.92
06:08:30BUYNo0.79620$15.92
06:08:30SELLYes0.20580$16.40
12:00:15BUYYes0.15120$3.02