0xd4eb89f83efc17e876eec81798659b143966744f
0xd4eb89f83efc17e876eec81798659b143966744f
- Realised P&L
- $131.53
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $376.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.99at 0.343Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?
- +$75.85at 0.466Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
- +$30.51at 0.502Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
- +$28.03at 0.455Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B
- +$21.04at 0.592Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:41 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 45%-50%? | BUY | 0.3399999674 | $2.71 |
| 11-01 22:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.1389999924 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7499999283 | $5.23 |
| 11-01 20:08 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 70%-75%? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:15 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.8529999783 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:00 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.2399999726 | $1.40 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Counter-Strike: prodigy vs Ducks - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $54.74 |
| 11-01 17:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:22 | Counter-Strike: prodigy vs Ducks - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 17:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 16:48 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.3299999941 | $3.89 |