PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 40%-45%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.477. up 0.394 over the period, from 0.083. Range 0.057 to 0.563. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4954040
0.5542262
0.5562284
0.560589
0.59740129
0.5985134
0.707195329
0.708100429
0.7107436
0.77850486
0.7809495
0.78930525

Spread0.036Mid0.477

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4594848
0.45860108
0.40622130
0.36829159
0.34251210
0.29067278
0.18160338
0.11720358
0.11130388
0.10030418
0.06020438
0.0037444

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5414848
0.54260108
0.59422130
0.63229159
0.65851210
0.71067278
0.81960338
0.88320358
0.88930388
0.90030418
0.94020438
0.9977444

Spread0.036Mid0.523

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5054040
0.4462262
0.4442284
0.440589
0.40340129
0.4025134
0.293195329
0.292100429
0.2907436
0.22250486
0.2209495
0.21130525

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
FkNgrsYes535.96
sweetjYes90
pppnnYes40
BeubeuYes20
GuyFromTinderYes5
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
LucerysYes4.94
Numitus1994Yes1.4
0xa5ef…2966No250.42
aliizNo169.28
Dr.PNLNo124.83
AJSVNo63.9
shoobadooba18No60
maomao228No20
BobbyBakedBeansNo10
0x1a8f…2cd1No5.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:30:28SELLNo0.50521$10.61
20:30:28SELLNo0.50515$7.58
14:30:24SELLYes0.52120$10.42
14:29:43SELLYes0.5272695035141$74.34
03:28:30BUYNo0.472999987436$16.81
03:27:22BUYYes0.47310$4.73
23:35:55BUYNo0.52310$5.23
15:16:09BUYNo0.538999979815$8.09
13:12:19BUYNo0.5140$20.40
10:04:25BUYYes0.42920$8.58
22:47:22SELLYes0.4276$2.48
22:47:22SELLNo0.5425$2.71
12:36:09BUYYes0.4431$13.64
11:04:28BUYNo0.5716$3.14
03:25:30SELLNo0.5620$11.20
22:02:22BUYNo0.4668454515118$55.22
00:14:31SELLNo0.426520$8.53
00:12:37BUYNo0.65$3.00
00:12:37BUYNo0.60$0.04
00:11:31BUYNo0.65$3.00
00:03:54BUYNo0.59999990324$2.48
23:50:10BUYNo0.66$3.48
23:37:06SELLNo0.620$12.00
23:33:43BUYYes0.4574038474105$48.00
23:30:46BUYYes0.16572106631$104.56