0x1a8f752534a1b74a764001f0a225bbf1ef882cd1
- Realised P&L
- $11.99
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 569
- Open portfolio
- $310.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded569
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.497Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.88at 0.081Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
- +$35.59at 0.127Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$23.49at 0.180Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$13.72at 0.392Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6 | $5.93 |
| 09-17 23:44 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 23:43 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 23:14 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.93 |
| 09-17 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6 | $5.93 |
| 09-17 21:44 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 21:43 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 21:32 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-17 19:44 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 17:45 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 15:44 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 13:55 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.87 |
| 09-17 11:54 | Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $9.03 |
| 09-17 11:44 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |