PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.190. down 0.010 over the period, from 0.199. Range 0.113 to 0.403. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3356363
0.33652115
0.39220135
0.39320155
0.39520175
0.42023198
0.66430228
0.69830258
0.69930288
0.70313301
0.7855306
0.786100406

Spread0.291Mid0.190

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0442020
0.04385105
0.04210115
0.0117122
0.0107129
0.00521151
0.004263414
0.003440854
0.0028651,719
0.0016,9048,623

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9562020
0.95785105
0.95810115
0.9897122
0.9907129
0.99521151
0.996263414
0.997440854
0.9988651,719
0.9996,9048,623

Spread0.291Mid0.810

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6656363
0.66452115
0.60820135
0.60720155
0.60520175
0.58023198
0.33630228
0.30230258
0.30130288
0.29713301
0.2155306
0.214100406

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Yes547.33
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlYes149.97
LornaPredictsYes123
pootytherewardfarmerYes66.31
HaradwaithYes52.02
Te0n2Yes32.44
sweetjYes29
0x4629…f3b1Yes23.07
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
shiifooYes20
tradetosurvive1Yes20
pppnnYes20
bbd113dYes10
0x03a4…92eaYes4.82
superaiapiYes4.04
0xa5ef…2966No966.81
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938No50
UTILIZADOR2No50
xtxpleasecallmeNo20.88
cigarettesNo19.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:40:54SELLNo0.8560$0.05
01:40:49BUYYes0.143999996820$2.87
01:40:49BUYYes0.14370$10.01
18:18:47SELLYes0.24820$4.96
18:17:26BUYNo0.73320$14.66
18:17:26SELLYes0.26755$14.69
02:08:53SELLYes0.23920$4.78
21:38:00BUYYes0.08320$1.66
18:51:33BUYNo0.76720$15.34
18:46:12BUYNo0.72240$28.88
18:46:12BUYNo0.723540$28.94
17:51:14BUYYes0.27126$7.05
09:23:09BUYYes0.26999993564$1.09
09:23:08BUYNo0.72530$21.74
16:32:11SELLYes0.28520$5.70
14:31:12SELLNo0.681$0.55
14:31:11BUYNo0.71899999969$6.48
14:31:11BUYNo0.7149999879$6.32
14:31:11BUYNo0.71799997588$5.76
14:31:11SELLYes0.2858$2.40
00:55:53SELLYes0.2760$0.01
23:44:29SELLYes0.28832$9.30
23:44:27BUYYes0.287793313938$10.85
23:43:47BUYNo0.74550$37.25
23:43:32BUYYes0.2668$2.05