PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-06-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.56. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.42. Range 0.41 to 0.56. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5799
0.596069
0.8331100
0.8412112
0.8620132
0.8762194
0.9514208
0.9625233
0.98177410
0.99165575

Spread0.01Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.56239239
0.5440279
0.52105384
0.5120404
0.3225429
0.3020449
0.1450499
0.106505
0.0920525
0.0830555
0.0640595
0.037602

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.44239239
0.4640279
0.48105384
0.4920404
0.6825429
0.7020449
0.8650499
0.906505
0.9120525
0.9230555
0.9440595
0.977602

Spread0.01Mid0.43

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4399
0.416069
0.1731100
0.1612112
0.1420132
0.1362194
0.0514208
0.0425233
0.02177410
0.01165575

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
rocky42011Yes236.15
0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883Yes217.39
pootytherewardfarmerYes24
GuyFromTinderYes15.45
asdfdd123Yes10
hippo10Yes2.57
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo105
FluoNo100
AJSVNo88.47
FihdrzgddNo40
cloverpmq2No26.92
S888No20
gthdtrlij549y89No20
MajasNo20
pppnnNo20
0xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-1776713030461No20
SuperTestsNo16
braindanceNo15
youtube-traderNo9.24
EuropeLiquidityNo2.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:55:12SELLNo0.4417$7.67
12:35:39BUYYes0.4599999986217$100.00
12:35:39BUYYes0.4620$9.20
21:41:45SELLYes0.4114$5.56
01:43:18SELLNo0.5820$11.60
10:25:21SELLNo0.589$5.36
07:04:30SELLYes0.3920$7.80
23:10:56SELLYes0.3881$30.95
23:02:46SELLYes0.3820$7.60
21:47:52BUYYes0.423$1.05
21:47:52SELLNo0.593$1.47
21:47:43BUYYes0.423$1.05
21:46:34SELLNo0.593$1.52
19:33:25BUYYes0.414$5.42
19:12:47SELLYes0.3920$7.80
16:12:15BUYYes0.42999996436$2.77
14:01:25SELLYes0.39234567941$15.89
14:01:13SELLNo0.56540$22.60
14:01:08BUYYes0.395061728441$16.00
14:01:01SELLNo0.6120$12.20
14:00:59BUYYes0.3870$26.60
13:53:17SELLYes0.377$2.75
13:52:50BUYNo0.62999995157$4.68
13:52:05BUYYes0.386355132227$10.60
13:23:23SELLYes0.3891992894315$122.68