PolyBot

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Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.256. up 0.251 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.302. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5288282
0.52918100
0.53410110
0.7399119
0.74040159
0.78810169
0.78990259
0.79054313
0.7938321
0.87418339
0.88530369
0.886600969

Spread0.525Mid0.266

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003428428
0.00223451
0.00170521

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997428428
0.99823451
0.99970521

Spread0.525Mid0.734

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4728282
0.47118100
0.46610110
0.2619119
0.26040159
0.21210169
0.21190259
0.21054313
0.2078321
0.12618339
0.11530369
0.114600969

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes1,600
LornaPredictsYes277
0xairzzYes100
molodoyyYes39.73
AJSVYes21.21
chainfishYes20.76
LonelyScissorsYes18.27
kevinsdad1Yes18.01
TENETENETYes10
a5533Yes9
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes5
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No2,124.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:06:09BUYNo0.9965$4.98
11:30:28SELLYes0.0119$0.10
08:26:30BUYYes0.010040775240$0.40
02:04:01SELLYes0.0013$0.00
02:03:40SELLYes0.0012$0.00
01:59:25SELLYes0.0028$0.02
15:03:30SELLYes0.00125$0.03
14:53:36SELLYes0.00249$0.10
14:49:21SELLYes0.00251$0.10
04:51:40SELLYes0.00135$0.04
17:55:25BUYNo0.9910$9.90
17:30:48BUYNo0.995$4.95
17:27:43SELLYes0.0192333333300$5.77
11:08:25BUYNo0.9710$9.70
11:08:24BUYNo0.976$5.82
11:08:22BUYNo0.975$5.05
21:31:04BUYNo0.969$8.64