Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.10 to 0.41. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	20	20
0.14	40	60
0.15	40	100
0.18	22	122
0.23	14	136
0.24	14	150
0.27	20	170
0.28	36	206
0.31	185	391
0.70	160	551
0.74	5	556
0.94	8	564

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	20	20
0.11	20	40
0.10	21	61
0.09	74	135
0.08	15	150
0.05	11	161
0.04	145	307
0.03	122	429
0.02	275	704
0.01	7	711

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	20	20
0.89	20	40
0.90	21	61
0.91	74	135
0.92	15	150
0.95	11	161
0.96	145	307
0.97	122	429
0.98	275	704
0.99	7	711

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	20	20
0.86	40	60
0.85	40	100
0.82	22	122
0.77	14	136
0.76	14	150
0.73	20	170
0.72	36	206
0.69	185	391
0.30	160	551
0.26	5	556
0.06	8	564

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	185
OxfordExpress	Yes	57.66
chessplayer	Yes	55
acarya	Yes	35.71
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	25
Dr.PNL	Yes	22
AMAM13	Yes	21
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	20.01
iutwpfal	Yes	20
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	14.09
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	5
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329	Yes	5
0xa5cb…6cb5	Yes	3.13
0x10e58a06904C5b20a01902c4711171451724B7AA-1760601113754	No	286
LornaPredicts	No	80
Computerdude111	No	51.7
zk1984	No	35.71
AJSV	No	14.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:07:59	BUY	Yes	0.1	20	$2.00
04:04:33	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
03:54:41	SELL	No	0.83	20	$16.60
03:54:15	BUY	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
03:51:36	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
03:15:42	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
03:15:14	BUY	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
03:00:33	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.20
00:42:24	BUY	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
22:58:57	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
22:38:48	SELL	Yes	0.13	20	$2.60
22:38:26	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
17:38:29	SELL	Yes	0.12	5	$0.60
17:38:24	SELL	Yes	0.12	5	$0.60
17:08:54	SELL	Yes	0.12	5	$0.60
17:08:32	BUY	No	0.87	5	$4.35
03:06:39	SELL	No	0.77	20	$15.40
03:06:36	BUY	Yes	0.16	40	$6.40
02:20:15	BUY	No	0.88	13	$11.10
02:11:54	BUY	No	0.8799999988	34	$30.00
18:10:09	SELL	Yes	0.14	20	$2.80
17:53:48	BUY	No	0.85	20	$17.00
03:20:27	BUY	No	0.81	20	$16.28
14:03:50	SELL	Yes	0.15	22	$3.30
00:57:00	BUY	No	0.78	22	$17.16