PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa5cb092fc900f430752852eb428ff348556d6cb5

Realised P&L
$202.90
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.5230.441$109.55$20.45
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · Yes0.4100.562$62.10+$16.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.5811.000$57.59+$24.13
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.7150.660$46.13$3.86
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6771.000$44.47+$14.36
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · Yes0.1660.455$43.34+$27.53
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? · No0.9400.999$34.52+$2.02
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m? · No0.9860.999$34.45+$0.43
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes0.8740.972$31.22+$3.12
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · No0.9470.545$30.48$22.43
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.7000.655$26.86$1.84
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? · No0.7910.915$26.07+$3.54
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.8650.914$23.72+$1.27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.8400.959$18.15+$2.24
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? · No0.7020.840$18.04+$2.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:06Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.77$1.47
08-03 06:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.1$1.00
08-03 06:44NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.01
08-03 06:30Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.7699996931$1.43
08-03 04:54Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.4839999741$5.00
08-03 04:54Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.4849999665$5.00
08-03 04:54Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.4849999665$5.00
08-03 04:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7899999189$5.26
08-03 04:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.1$1.00
08-03 04:38Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.5039999968$5.00
08-03 04:38Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?BUY0.3859999787$5.00
08-03 04:28Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.9769999971$5.00
08-03 04:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.77$0.02
08-03 04:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.78$0.06
08-03 04:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$7.55