PolyBot

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Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-27

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.164 over the period, from 0.165. Range 0.002 to 0.165. 50 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0062222
0.0071638
0.009846
0.0102570
0.011392462
0.0205467
0.0306473
0.090200673
0.58965738
0.5916351,373
0.5922451,618
0.693681,686

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9942222
0.9931638
0.991846
0.9902570
0.989392462
0.9805467
0.9706473
0.910200673
0.41165738
0.4096351,373
0.4082451,618
0.307681,686

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes2,459.99
ConfusedUngaBungaYes392
AJSVYes50
dognamedreggiYes49.23
sanduspaceYes41.2
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033Yes27.45
em...wellYes16
TENETENETYes10
2B9SYes10
Hugin-og-MuninYes10
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Yes5
bjproloYes5
triklozoidYes5
soliton137Yes1.75
aHjCzYes1.55
0xa5ef…2966No2,637.75
WaterfallNo447

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:23:12BUYNo0.99925$24.98
14:23:06BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:59:42BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:59:40BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:59:27BUYNo0.9985$4.99
11:03:03BUYNo0.99820$19.96
09:47:51SELLYes0.0022$0.00
09:47:40BUYNo0.99710$9.97
06:59:48BUYNo0.99719$19.17
06:57:15BUYNo0.99720$19.94
00:23:37BUYNo0.9888814318447$442.03