0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033
0xb0e74df9430a089aa102e2207af5fde1967439d2
- Realised P&L
- $49.6k
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar949.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.012Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$5.4kat 0.174Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.0kat 0.001Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?
- +$4.3kat 0.005Will England win on 2026-10-03?
- +$3.4kat 0.002Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.2k |
| 09-25 05:37 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.934 | $80.32 |
| 09-24 09:35 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.9897968127 | $248.44 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.13 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.14 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.059 | $1.38 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.0357912364 | $1.28 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.34 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.17 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.25 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Edoardo Corvi (Parma) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.076 | $1.24 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.128 | $3.07 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.57 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.96 |
| 08-31 06:03 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.32 |