ConfusedUngaBunga
0x1e109e389fb9cc1fc37360ab796b42c12d4bbeee
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $2.05M
- Markets traded
- 4,277
- Open portfolio
- $127.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,277
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.010Blockx vs. Engel: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- +$680.20at 0.010Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on December 27?
- +$605.54at 0.001Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?
- +$510.72at 0.010Will "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
- +$425.44at 0.010LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.90 |
| 08-02 23:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.66 |
| 08-02 10:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.14 |
| 08-02 05:21 | Will The Tonys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.16 |
| 08-02 04:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.90 |
| 08-01 15:32 | Will Finn Wolfhard be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.34 |
| 07-31 19:03 | Will Catherine Laga'aia be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 07-30 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 07-29 22:07 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.98 |
| 07-29 20:02 | Will “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.64 |
| 07-29 19:57 | Will LYON Make the LCS 2026 Summer Grand Final? | SELL | 0.28 | $7.65 |
| 07-29 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.80 |
| 07-29 19:57 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.27 |
| 07-28 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-28 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |