PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ConfusedUngaBunga

0x1e109e389fb9cc1fc37360ab796b42c12d4bbeee

Realised P&L
$9.7k
Volume
$2.51M
Markets traded
5,419
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,419
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Degerfors IF be runner-up in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0100.410$223.86+$218.40
Will Ding Liren finish in the Top 3 of Titled Tuesday on September 22? · Yes0.0100.495$198.50+$194.49
Will Brandon Jacobson finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on September 22? · Yes0.0100.445$178.44+$174.44
Will Tuomas Turunen finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on September 22? · Yes0.0100.445$178.44+$174.44
Spread: Rochdale AFC (-4.5) · Rochdale AFC0.0100.490$140.63+$137.76
Spread: Rochdale AFC (-5.5) · Rochdale AFC0.0100.490$140.63+$137.76
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-4.5) · Sheffield United FC0.0100.485$139.68+$136.80
Spread: Stoke City FC (-5.5) · Stoke City FC0.0100.485$139.68+$136.80
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-5.5) · Sheffield United FC0.0100.485$139.68+$136.80
Spread: Hartlepool United FC (-5.5) · Hartlepool United FC0.0100.480$136.80+$133.95
Spread: Worthing FC (-4.5) · Worthing FC0.0100.480$136.80+$133.95
Spread: Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-4.5) · Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo0.0100.465$134.85+$131.95
Spread: Tajikistan (-5.5) · Tajikistan0.0100.460$133.86+$130.95
Spread: Tajikistan (-4.5) · Tajikistan0.0100.460$133.86+$130.95
Spread: Stoke City FC (-4.5) · Stoke City FC0.0100.460$132.48+$129.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:11Will the earnings call not air?SELL0.0306$3.82
09-17 15:23Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?SELL0.011$0.04
09-16 12:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 18?SELL0.02$0.40
09-12 04:10Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?SELL0.05$1.39
09-09 19:21Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 11?SELL0.02$0.30
09-09 18:34LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.012$2.46
09-09 16:44Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 in September?BUY0.01$4.36
09-08 00:27Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on September 9?SELL0.02$0.48
09-07 22:49Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $73 Week of September 7 2026?SELL0.067$1.64
09-07 05:16Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 7 2026?SELL0.032$0.32
09-07 04:04Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 7 2026?SELL0.044$7.48
09-06 21:55Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 7 2026?SELL0.06$17.70
09-06 08:42Will Sonya Kilkenny be the next Premier of Victoria?SELL0.021$0.21
09-06 04:53Will Hong Kong have 550mm or more of precipitation in September?SELL0.05$0.29
09-05 05:21Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 in September?SELL0.24$2.40