PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ConfusedUngaBunga

0x1e109e389fb9cc1fc37360ab796b42c12d4bbeee

Realised P&L
$6.0k
Volume
$2.05M
Markets traded
4,277
Open portfolio
$127.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,277
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Biggest Pot at the Final Table Be <100m Chips? · Yes0.0100.061$23.86+$19.98
Will the Biggest Pot at the Final Table Be <100m Chips? · No0.0100.939$14.08+$13.93
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 94%+? · Yes0.0100.037$8.70+$6.34
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0100.026$7.82+$4.87
Will MVK Esports Qualify for Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0100.625$6.31+$6.21
Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? · Yes0.0100.674$4.72+$4.65
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? · Yes0.0100.600$4.20+$4.13
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · Yes0.0100.375$3.94+$3.84
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 5? · Yes0.0100.015$3.75+$1.25
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · Yes0.0100.177$2.42+$2.28
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? · Yes0.0100.275$1.93+$1.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.0100.004$1.75$3.26
Will Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? · Yes0.0100.083$1.64+$1.44
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.018$1.56+$0.69
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 5? · Yes0.0100.006$1.50$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:24Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 4?SELL0.02$0.90
08-02 23:30Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 4?SELL0.02$1.66
08-02 10:40Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 4?SELL0.04$2.14
08-02 05:21Will The Tonys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?SELL0.011$0.16
08-02 04:31Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.01$0.90
08-01 15:32Will Finn Wolfhard be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?SELL0.034$0.34
07-31 19:03Will Catherine Laga'aia be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?SELL0.08$1.20
07-30 10:37Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 1?SELL0.02$0.12
07-29 22:07Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$2.98
07-29 20:02Will “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?SELL0.016$0.64
07-29 19:57Will LYON Make the LCS 2026 Summer Grand Final?SELL0.28$7.65
07-29 19:57Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 29?SELL0.021$0.80
07-29 19:57Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.05$1.27
07-28 04:06Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on July 30?BUY0.01$0.05
07-28 04:06Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on July 30?BUY0.01$0.05