PolyBot

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Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-24
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.12 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.05 to 0.26. 53 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.112020
0.157090
0.27225315
0.2825340
0.2949389
0.3044432
0.31444876
0.704001,276
0.712401,516
0.856002,116
0.8782,124
0.90102,134

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.892020
0.857090
0.73225315
0.7225340
0.7149389
0.7044432
0.69444876
0.304001,276
0.292401,516
0.156002,116
0.1382,124
0.10102,134

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes2,279.99
pootytherewardfarmerYes140
LonelyScissorsYes49
GuyFromTinderYes47.24
LovelyPandaYes43.75
AJSVYes42.43
sdssdsYes40
sdfsdfsdfsdf2Yes30
pppnnYes24.82
LaribobiboYes20
Hugin-og-MuninYes10
0x650844936217681945a434406fFb7eaF5964245C-1736880046268Yes5.88
bjproloYes5
HaradwaithYes3
soliton137Yes1.75
0xa5ef…2966No2,637.75
ayosussybennyNo100
2B9SNo5.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:22:07BUYNo0.975$4.89
18:23:37SELLYes0.012$0.02
18:23:13BUYNo0.9914$13.81
18:23:12BUYNo0.9914$13.37
18:23:10BUYNo0.9925$24.75
14:15:36SELLYes0.040$0.01
13:44:15SELLYes0.079828448914$1.12
09:36:07SELLYes0.08450$4.20
09:35:31SELLYes0.156$0.90
09:35:28SELLYes0.1528737284174$26.60
05:16:19BUYYes0.16999999836$1.00
00:22:55BUYYes0.169999995415$2.58
00:09:42BUYNo0.8320$16.60
23:00:24SELLYes0.1820$3.60
23:00:06SELLYes0.1920$3.80
23:00:03SELLYes0.18180$32.40
17:53:07SELLNo0.822$17.58
14:23:06BUYYes0.1344847405174$23.40
11:59:40BUYNo0.9510$9.50
11:59:40BUYNo0.9510$9.50
11:59:27BUYNo0.955$4.75
11:03:03BUYNo0.9520$19.00
09:47:43BUYNo0.932$2.05
09:47:39BUYNo0.9310$9.30
07:12:43SELLYes0.0319$0.58