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Traders

justcris

0x3ea9eace9fb326bf87244ac7ab444980207a1a0a

Realised P&L
$-23.29
Volume
$283.35
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$1.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.3300.170$1.03−$0.97
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1100.046$0.42−$0.58
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes0.6700.053$0.08−$0.92
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4270.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00−$2.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5670.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00−$3.00
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 18:29Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.7$2.00
08-11 18:29Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
08-11 18:27Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
08-08 19:06Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.827999894$1.00
08-08 19:06Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.54$1.00
07-24 16:24Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
07-24 16:24Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.699999755$2.00
07-24 16:24Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299998672$3.00
07-24 16:19Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.849999915$1.00
07-24 16:18Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.7379993683$1.00
07-23 17:38Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-23 17:37Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.033999968$1.00
07-23 17:37Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
07-23 17:37Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
07-23 17:35Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00