Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-04
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.74. Unchanged over the period, from 0.74. Range 0.74 to 0.74. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	1,675	1,675
0.76	1,607	3,283
0.77	716	3,999
0.82	39	4,038
0.83	47	4,085
0.84	1,600	5,685
0.87	73	5,758
0.89	45	5,803
0.90	55	5,858
0.94	100	5,958
0.95	25	5,983
0.96	300	6,283

Spread0.01Mid0.74

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	1,071	1,071
0.73	910	1,982
0.72	388	2,370
0.16	44	2,413
0.15	53	2,467
0.14	50	2,517
0.10	21	2,538
0.03	268	2,806
0.02	3,000	5,806
0.01	25	5,831

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	1,071	1,071
0.27	910	1,982
0.28	388	2,370
0.84	44	2,413
0.85	53	2,467
0.86	50	2,517
0.90	21	2,538
0.97	268	2,806
0.98	3,000	5,806
0.99	25	5,831

Spread0.01Mid0.26

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	1,675	1,675
0.24	1,607	3,283
0.23	716	3,999
0.18	39	4,038
0.17	47	4,085
0.16	1,600	5,685
0.13	73	5,758
0.11	45	5,803
0.10	55	5,858
0.06	100	5,958
0.05	25	5,983
0.04	300	6,283

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
KiruaTrading	Yes	301.6
Fniii	Yes	50
Dow-Jones	Yes	50
2B9S	Yes	31.9
buzzedballs	Yes	13.32
dsfd3	Yes	10
a5533	Yes	2
0xa5ef…2966	No	190.93
Dr.PNL	No	113.28
commanderkim	No	50
AJSV	No	50
17226804	No	24
GuyFromTinder	No	23
YaniNeko	No	7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:34:39	SELL	No	0.25	5	$1.25
15:34:37	BUY	Yes	0.75	5	$3.75
15:34:36	SELL	No	0.25	5	$1.25
15:34:31	BUY	Yes	0.75	5	$3.75
13:28:57	SELL	No	0.25	0	$0.06
01:58:24	SELL	Yes	0.74	20	$14.89
01:58:21	SELL	Yes	0.74	20	$14.80
23:30:36	SELL	Yes	0.74	20	$14.80
15:30:10	SELL	No	0.25	20	$5.00
15:30:03	SELL	No	0.25	20	$5.00
15:29:58	BUY	Yes	0.75	20	$15.00
03:34:43	SELL	Yes	0.74	0	$0.09
15:33:09	SELL	Yes	0.74	6	$4.44
15:33:04	SELL	Yes	0.74	6	$4.44
18:12:03	BUY	Yes	0.75	49	$36.96
17:31:42	SELL	Yes	0.74	40	$29.60
15:17:22	SELL	No	0.25	50	$12.50
15:17:13	BUY	Yes	0.75	50	$37.50
18:11:19	BUY	Yes	0.75	50	$37.50
11:30:28	BUY	No	0.26	10	$2.60
11:30:28	BUY	No	0.26	25	$6.50
08:48:27	BUY	No	0.26	30	$7.80
08:48:25	BUY	No	0.26	27	$7.02
04:43:16	BUY	No	0.26	2	$0.52
04:42:45	BUY	No	0.26	5	$1.30

Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or… · PolyBot Pro