p3eFbv0H3b
0x060361681d73ef77e07105a3d9fefc26bec78f62
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $297.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,954
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,954
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$943.38at 0.200Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$679.66at 0.224Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$407.21at 0.223Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$405.48at 0.817Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 12:10 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2981334812 | $131.69 |
| 06-01 07:35 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9836281158 | $146.80 |
| 06-01 03:17 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 06-01 03:14 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 05-30 05:36 | Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 04-22 04:23 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY | 0.998 | $76.16 |
| 04-17 15:33 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.28 |
| 04-17 15:00 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $25.79 |
| 04-17 07:30 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.8k |
| 04-17 01:32 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.52 |
| 04-17 01:31 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.88 |
| 04-15 03:40 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.8 | $58.00 |
| 04-15 03:40 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.85 | $688.79 |
| 04-14 05:29 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.853 | $84.66 |
| 04-14 03:23 | Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.03 |