PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

p3eFbv0H3b

0x060361681d73ef77e07105a3d9fefc26bec78f62

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$297.6k
Markets traded
2,954
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,954
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.7040.837$132.85+$21.04
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.8820.889$108.96+$0.81
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.7200.963$87.98+$22.22
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6880.363$81.47$72.67
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.9010.999$64.01+$6.27
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.5461.000$59.97+$27.18
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.5740.691$53.09+$8.97
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.8080.996$41.84+$7.87
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? · No0.9220.876$26.58$1.37
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9110.956$25.70+$1.20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · No0.6650.691$25.03+$0.92
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? · No0.8910.982$24.20+$2.22
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · No0.9120.956$19.51+$0.90
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · No0.0570.587$17.61+$15.90
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9420.952$17.42+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 12:10MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.2981334812$131.69
06-01 07:35Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9836281158$146.80
06-01 03:17Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?BUY0.997$199.40
06-01 03:14Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?BUY0.996$99.60
05-30 05:36Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?SELL0.999$29.97
04-22 04:23Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?BUY0.998$76.16
04-17 15:33Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?SELL0.003$2.28
04-17 15:00Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?SELL0.034$25.79
04-17 07:30Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?SELL0.999$1.8k
04-17 01:32Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?SELL0.004$2.52
04-17 01:31Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?SELL0.999$99.88
04-15 03:40Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?SELL0.8$58.00
04-15 03:40Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?SELL0.85$688.79
04-14 05:29Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?BUY0.853$84.66
04-14 03:23Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?SELL0.999$9.03