PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Teufel-IX

0x59553521f7b6408f932361f83c41dad860ca740b

Realised P&L
$-9.52
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-01 23:14Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?SELL0.997$1.00
01-23 00:44Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
01-23 00:42Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?BUY0.0439999593$1.00
01-23 00:32Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?BUY0.023999977$1.00
01-23 00:17Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?BUY0.0069498913$1.00
01-23 00:14Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?BUY0.0259259011$1.00
01-23 00:13Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?BUY0.032$1.00
01-23 00:12Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
01-23 00:09Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$1.00
01-22 22:20Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
01-22 22:18Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?SELL0.024$1.38
01-22 22:16Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?BUY0.0259999916$3.00