dokan
0xd3fc08b7e6aa812b0b67e85be8f1a06b7e2a78fc
- Realised P&L
- $-202.44
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $8.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.400Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
- +$20.76at 0.417Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$19.66at 0.622Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$18.45at 0.726Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$14.02at 0.263Will BNB dip to $800 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 13:00 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6149999964 | $32.00 |
| 07-05 12:03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.719999997 | $48.50 |
| 07-05 12:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 03-03 10:08 | Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | BUY | 0.4211928334 | $10.00 |
| 02-18 10:02 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $40.76 |
| 02-18 10:01 | Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026? | SELL | 0.411700102 | $12.11 |
| 01-27 14:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BUY | 0.669999999 | $95.00 |
| 01-27 14:19 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.4789999667 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 14:18 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $25.00 |
| 01-27 14:17 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 14:16 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.037 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 13:32 | Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | BUY | 0.0130471062 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 13:32 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | BUY | 0.0862250341 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 13:00 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 01-27 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 27? | BUY | 0.0869294776 | $5.00 |