PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dokan

0xd3fc08b7e6aa812b0b67e85be8f1a06b7e2a78fc

Realised P&L
$-202.44
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$8.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0300.025$4.25$0.75
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.221$4.08$0.92
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$5.00
Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur · Minaur0.0240.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$100.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$5.00
Will the median home value in the US be between $416,000 and $418,000 by February 1? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$5.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$5.00
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$25.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27? · No0.0270.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.4790.000$0.00$5.00
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$5.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 13:00Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6149999964$32.00
07-05 12:03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.719999997$48.50
07-05 12:00Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.55$100.00
03-03 10:08Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY0.4211928334$10.00
02-18 10:02Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?SELL0.85$40.76
02-18 10:01Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026?SELL0.411700102$12.11
01-27 14:20Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?BUY0.669999999$95.00
01-27 14:19Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY0.4789999667$5.00
01-27 14:18Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?BUY0.3799999945$25.00
01-27 14:17Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.6799999946$10.00
01-27 14:16Xi Jinping out by June 30?BUY0.037$5.00
01-27 13:32Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?BUY0.0130471062$5.00
01-27 13:32Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?BUY0.0862250341$5.00
01-27 13:00Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?BUY0.4$20.00
01-27 12:56Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 27?BUY0.0869294776$5.00