underwaterdrool
0x82890ae985a1629cdb0f11458b7379c64a5b6194
- Realised P&L
- $-22.59
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $5.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.29at 0.189Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$1.22at 0.450Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.820Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 12?
- +$-0.04at 0.260Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$-0.20at 0.020Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-06 05:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.46 |
| 02-06 05:17 | Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.59 |
| 02-06 05:17 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.96 |
| 02-06 05:17 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 02-06 05:17 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.71 |
| 02-06 05:17 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.14 |
| 02-06 05:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.121 | $5.42 |
| 01-12 04:41 | Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January? | BUY | 0.0707868393 | $4.00 |
| 01-12 04:41 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January? | BUY | 0.1889998571 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 04:39 | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 12? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 04:38 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of January? | BUY | 0.0257771624 | $3.00 |
| 01-12 04:38 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in January? | BUY | 0.2899999579 | $4.00 |
| 01-12 04:35 | Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 01-12 04:34 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 01-12 04:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1339999819 | $6.00 |