PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2E069254c1dcF5f9B60273B7913a142fF7874Aa7-1767546823885

0x2e069254c1dcf5f9b60273b7913a142ff7874aa7

Realised P&L
$-9.67
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$2.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0150.025$1.78+$0.73
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.004$0.35$0.65
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.004$0.27$0.81
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.002$0.12$0.92
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.08
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.65
US civil war before 2027? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$1.29
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-03 18:06Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?BUY0.059999946$1.00
01-17 09:03Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?BUY0.002$1.00
01-12 16:20Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY0.06$1.00
01-12 15:09Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?BUY0.015$0.19
01-09 15:48US civil war before 2027?BUY0.086$1.29
01-05 13:34Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
01-05 13:06Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$1.00
01-04 22:12Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.018$1.08
01-04 22:05Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.013$1.04
01-04 18:02Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.33$1.65
01-04 17:53Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?BUY0.018$1.08