Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.017. down 0.008 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.011 to 0.034. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	37	37
0.029	52	90
0.030	1,000	1,090
0.033	400	1,490
0.047	10	1,500
0.390	500	2,000
0.450	693	2,693
0.510	778	3,471
0.570	975	4,446
0.590	483	4,929
0.630	1,340	6,269
0.690	1,722	7,990

Spread0.023Mid0.017

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	179	179
0.004	250	429
0.003	500	929
0.002	505	1,434
0.001	7,949	9,383

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	179	179
0.996	250	429
0.997	500	929
0.998	505	1,434
0.999	7,949	9,383

Spread0.023Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	37	37
0.971	52	90
0.970	1,000	1,090
0.967	400	1,490
0.953	10	1,500
0.610	500	2,000
0.550	693	2,693
0.490	778	3,471
0.430	975	4,446
0.410	483	4,929
0.370	1,340	6,269
0.310	1,722	7,990

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x392b…b7da	Yes	302.57
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	205.94
54sfds	Yes	46.32
0xf52b…bdf5	Yes	41.09
Biver52	Yes	35.05
Wambui	Yes	31.64
paas2	Yes	30
WolfCharge	Yes	21.35
0x8596BDE89166e3361B7E0E85553b81c034149b95-1735937912507	Yes	20
0x48228A631B31E5cC1B34761100F8b35dd995D278-1770062899373	Yes	10.1
Scoopdewhoop	Yes	10
snic	Yes	10
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	7.44
ma99	Yes	6.03
0xc6d7…4399	Yes	4.51
PPMT	Yes	3.9
BSS37	Yes	1.49
Dr.Sharif	Yes	1.23
25oodksmsss09	Yes	1.16
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes	1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:00:31	SELL	Yes	0.012	7	$0.09
17:41:07	SELL	Yes	0.013	16	$0.21
17:41:01	BUY	Yes	0.0369999992	33	$1.23
11:57:48	BUY	No	0.977	10	$9.92
10:07:03	SELL	No	0.974	10	$9.74
09:37:38	BUY	No	0.975	10	$9.75
12:51:47	BUY	No	0.9744625	20	$19.49
06:29:12	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.97
06:28:15	BUY	No	0.9779998924	5	$5.00
18:47:33	SELL	No	0.976	11	$10.74
19:25:54	SELL	No	0.975	12	$11.70
02:45:39	BUY	No	0.9798794444	114	$112.17
19:26:15	BUY	No	0.977	7	$7.00
08:52:45	SELL	Yes	0.023	33	$0.77
19:12:00	BUY	No	0.981	6	$5.55
19:58:39	BUY	No	0.97	39	$37.72
23:11:00	BUY	Yes	0.0306345256	33	$1.00
22:59:31	BUY	No	0.997	1	$1.00
05:48:30	SELL	No	0.978	0	$0.10
05:48:27	SELL	Yes	0.017970297	6	$0.11
12:51:52	SELL	No	0.978	1	$0.95
12:51:51	SELL	Yes	0.02	50	$1.00
21:28:11	BUY	No	0.9657819107	74	$71.00
07:47:49	SELL	Yes	0.033	1	$0.03
09:01:37	SELL	Yes	0.021	1	$0.02