PolyBot

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Traders

0x8596BDE89166e3361B7E0E85553b81c034149b95-1735937912507

0x8596bde89166e3361b7e0e85553b81c034149b95

Realised P&L
$7.76
Volume
$394.50
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$18.61

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2301.000$5.00+$3.85
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.7000.967$2.76+$0.76
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.4600.585$2.54+$0.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4700.959$2.35+$1.20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · No0.4701.000$2.13+$1.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · No0.6901.000$1.45+$0.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · No0.8901.000$1.36+$0.15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5400.374$0.69−$0.31
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0800.017$0.33−$1.27
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Canucks vs. Golden Knights · Canucks0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Cowboys vs. Giants · Cowboys0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$2.00
Packers vs. Bears · Packers0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-04 15:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
04-04 15:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.4599997608$0.96
04-03 03:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.8899995513$1.21
04-03 03:21US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.999$1.09
03-31 04:58Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.6929999597$1.89
03-31 04:57Maple Leafs vs. DucksSELL0.999$2.27
03-31 04:52Maple Leafs vs. DucksBUY0.4399998064$1.00
03-31 04:47Blues vs. SharksSELL0.999$1.29
03-31 03:56Pistons vs. ThunderBUY0.64$0.99
03-31 03:45Canucks vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.3299997822$1.00
03-31 03:43Blues vs. SharksBUY0.77$1.00
03-31 03:36Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?SELL0.999$2.59
03-30 11:33Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4699998815$1.15
03-30 05:48Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.7019999306$1.82
03-30 05:45US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.3299997822$1.00