PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x48228A631B31E5cC1B34761100F8b35dd995D278-1770062899373

0x48228a631b31e5cc1b34761100f8b35dd995d278

Realised P&L
$-153.93
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$0.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0990.017$0.17−$0.83
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0110.002$0.14−$0.86
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05−$0.95
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.2870.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$22.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$9.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.5170.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4PM ET · Up0.1150.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$10.00
Solana Up or Down - February 8, 4PM ET · Up0.1290.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00−$13.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 20:39Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699999877$18.95
07-11 20:36Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.22$22.00
05-10 18:51Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00
05-10 18:51Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.5199999813$10.00
05-10 18:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00
05-10 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.51$9.82
05-10 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.5273631634$10.00
05-10 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.52$1.00
05-10 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.5168984614$1.00
05-10 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
05-10 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
05-10 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
05-10 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00
05-10 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
05-10 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00