0x48228A631B31E5cC1B34761100F8b35dd995D278-1770062899373
0x48228a631b31e5cc1b34761100f8b35dd995d278
- Realised P&L
- $-153.93
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $0.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.51at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
- +$10.90at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$10.19at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$9.34at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$9.26at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 20:39 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699999877 | $18.95 |
| 07-11 20:36 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 05-10 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 18:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $9.82 |
| 05-10 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5273631634 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5168984614 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |