0x392be22632466cd57b72de696cc85d7886c2b7da
0x392be22632466cd57b72de696cc85d7886c2b7da
- Realised P&L
- $-49.16
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $84.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.500 | $35.83 | −$2.13 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.036 | $16.81 | −$23.17 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · No | 0.896 | 1.000 | $16.62 | +$1.73 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No | 0.679 | 1.000 | $7.42 | +$2.38 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.017 | $4.99 | −$24.99 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.035 | $1.99 | −$7.76 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.018 | $0.77 | −$28.94 |
| OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.06 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 22:12 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5290035739 | $8.08 |
| 03-08 17:12 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.099083396 | $29.98 |
| 03-08 17:11 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999763 | $29.71 |
| 03-08 17:11 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5299999963 | $29.88 |
| 03-08 17:11 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.0859182049 | $29.99 |
| 03-08 03:57 | OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? | BUY | 0.0706681575 | $9.99 |
| 03-08 03:57 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 03:56 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1690006028 | $9.75 |
| 03-08 03:56 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.0848301627 | $9.99 |
| 03-08 03:56 | Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? | BUY | 0.032 | $9.99 |
| 03-08 02:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.8959999995 | $14.89 |
| 03-08 02:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3190002841 | $10.05 |
| 03-07 20:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.6790003171 | $5.04 |
| 03-07 20:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3299999671 | $6.01 |
| 03-07 20:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999865 | $5.10 |