Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.007. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.006 to 0.013. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.008	1,635	1,635
0.009	329	1,964
0.010	1,094	3,058
0.011	2,597	5,655
0.012	4,558	10,214
0.013	290	10,504
0.014	513	11,017
0.016	1,307	12,324
0.019	10	12,334
0.020	580	12,913
0.028	429	13,342
0.029	1,345	14,687

Spread0.002Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.006	45	45
0.005	496,822	496,867
0.004	516,716	1,013,584
0.003	1,008,003	2,021,586
0.002	2,341,938	4,363,524
0.001	2,322,908	6,686,432

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.994	45	45
0.995	496,822	496,867
0.996	516,716	1,013,584
0.997	1,008,003	2,021,586
0.998	2,341,938	4,363,524
0.999	2,322,908	6,686,432

Spread0.002Mid0.993

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.992	1,635	1,635
0.991	329	1,964
0.990	1,094	3,058
0.989	2,597	5,655
0.988	4,558	10,214
0.987	290	10,504
0.986	513	11,017
0.984	1,307	12,324
0.981	10	12,334
0.980	580	12,913
0.972	429	13,342
0.971	1,345	14,687

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
kod.cip	Yes	14,999.98
Cashmeowio	Yes	10,999.85
Happydog2026	Yes	10,015.44
EirikL	Yes	6,340.89
jozeslemsek	Yes	5,989.06
F1geek	Yes	4,744.81
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	3,845.67
Desy-1725192185234	Yes	3,259.46
feishen	Yes	3,246.39
BabyGroot	Yes	3,099.99
Smellytrader23	Yes	3,085.3
0x5CCfD6a813da36425564cbDD3ae4FCAf9fA51188-1768630718005	Yes	2,705.58
v1notlost	Yes	2,083.71
Donkov	Yes	2,000.33
Touge	Yes	1,592.15
HerrieDavis	Yes	1,496.47
ssumit	Yes	1,306.58
donthackme	Yes	1,035.21
czh5	Yes	995.39
confirmit	Yes	918.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:39:10	BUY	No	0.995	28	$27.45
03:31:57	BUY	No	0.995	145	$144.19
00:58:48	BUY	No	0.995	14	$14.42
00:22:25	BUY	No	0.995	39	$38.42
23:02:09	BUY	No	0.995	8	$7.96
23:01:52	BUY	No	0.995	106	$105.84
23:01:49	BUY	No	0.995	10	$9.95
23:01:49	BUY	No	0.995	6	$6.37
23:01:49	BUY	No	0.995	6	$6.40
22:17:45	BUY	No	0.995	207	$205.86
21:57:51	SELL	Yes	0.005	278	$1.39
21:37:33	BUY	No	0.995	24	$23.77
21:37:31	SELL	Yes	0.005	1,166	$5.83
21:28:06	SELL	Yes	0.005	1	$0.00
21:26:24	SELL	Yes	0.005	450	$2.25
20:58:01	BUY	No	0.995	7	$6.96
20:57:49	BUY	No	0.995	36	$36.06
20:57:42	BUY	No	0.995	28	$27.45
20:57:39	BUY	No	0.995	60	$59.90
20:57:39	BUY	No	0.995	91	$90.35
20:48:52	BUY	No	0.995	6	$5.96
20:48:21	BUY	No	0.995	5	$4.98
20:48:18	BUY	No	0.994469	10	$9.94
20:28:15	BUY	No	0.995	28	$27.86
20:19:25	SELL	Yes	0.005	335	$1.68