ttyygg5
0x79c6fe44969248e417eb4f6272f2299f412e3630
- Realised P&L
- $-132.00
- Volume
- $175.0k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $52.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $52.50 | +$7.50 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.19 |
| Bears vs. 49ers · Bears | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Argentina Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Hugo Dellien · Dzumhur | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors · Cavaliers | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.21 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? · No | 0.557 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Sabres vs. Bruins · Bruins | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineers · Oklahoma Sooners | 0.627 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.06 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.35 |
| Canadiens vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Spurs vs. Rockets · Spurs | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.33at 0.417Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?
- +$23.33at 0.300Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
- +$23.24at 0.419Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs
- +$20.30at 0.330Nuggets vs. Warriors
- +$19.64at 0.550Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $33.00 |
| 08-02 05:17 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $32.04 |
| 06-16 07:08 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.00 |
| 06-15 14:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.80 |
| 06-15 14:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $5.02 |
| 06-12 07:00 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.987 | $14.98 |
| 06-12 07:00 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $19.98 |
| 06-12 06:59 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $33.03 |
| 05-30 05:02 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.00 |
| 05-30 05:02 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 05-30 05:02 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9879999995 | $15.00 |
| 05-28 01:15 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $18.00 |
| 05-28 01:14 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $18.46 |
| 05-28 01:14 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $24.97 |
| 05-26 14:39 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $25.00 |