ATCapital
0x7ad3d7e5cda50dbe1fc5c29a1ffc2f61a9232e30
- Realised P&L
- $494.97
- Volume
- $386.1k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.261Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
- +$548.81at 0.261Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
- +$398.99at 0.272Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
- +$177.57at 0.300Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
- +$162.05at 0.948Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.71 | $45.23 |
| 10-30 20:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.69 | $270.32 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $96.04 |
| 10-30 19:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.015 | $4.13 |
| 10-30 19:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.015 | $19.37 |
| 10-30 19:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.69 | $429.54 |
| 10-30 19:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.73 | $347.61 |
| 10-30 19:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.76 | $113.50 |
| 10-30 19:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.24 | $63.42 |
| 10-30 18:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.28 | $345.79 |
| 10-30 18:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 18:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.54 |
| 10-30 18:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $732.22 |
| 10-30 18:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.7299819431 | $52.56 |
| 10-30 18:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $492.43 |