Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.017. down 0.048 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.014 to 0.066. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.019	50	50
0.020	182	232
0.021	1,439	1,672
0.023	76	1,748
0.024	205	1,953
0.026	13	1,966
0.027	60	2,026
0.028	1,080	3,106
0.029	954	4,060
0.030	282	4,342
0.031	1,253	5,595
0.032	400	5,995

Spread0.005Mid0.017

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.014	706	706
0.013	1,763	2,469
0.012	1,700	4,169
0.011	2,034	6,202
0.010	2,055	8,257
0.009	1,667	9,924
0.008	3,746	13,670
0.007	7,529	21,198
0.006	415,333	436,532
0.005	514,000	950,532
0.004	826,500	1,777,032
0.003	1,059,167	2,836,198

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.986	706	706
0.987	1,763	2,469
0.988	1,700	4,169
0.989	2,034	6,202
0.990	2,055	8,257
0.991	1,667	9,924
0.992	3,746	13,670
0.993	7,529	21,198
0.994	415,333	436,532
0.995	514,000	950,532
0.996	826,500	1,777,032
0.997	1,059,167	2,836,198

Spread0.005Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.981	50	50
0.980	182	232
0.979	1,439	1,672
0.977	76	1,748
0.976	205	1,953
0.974	13	1,966
0.973	60	2,026
0.972	1,080	3,106
0.971	954	4,060
0.970	282	4,342
0.969	1,253	5,595
0.968	400	5,995

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	12,014.72
jozeslemsek	Yes	8,362.93
0xD7010851673eC281d9A79C77192F31051109917D-1785414009080	Yes	6,515.37
Spirit-LT	Yes	4,999.99
fafafafafafafafsadasdq	Yes	4,808.25
cryptomikey1	Yes	3,816.7
Epch	Yes	3,250.31
Buhta	Yes	2,906.98
0xB56a3607E2eBf92D99cbEBc386Ab90E126dB9e83-1752141819539	Yes	2,385.86
0xa0f2…1848	Yes	2,257
Happydog2026	Yes	2,106.96
Smellytrader23	Yes	2,019.16
spidermarnn	Yes	2,000
wxmark	Yes	1,921.88
feishen	Yes	1,706.81
BabyGroot	Yes	1,609.99
HerrieDavis	Yes	1,608.65
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	1,596.99
0xee67…67a6	Yes	1,439.36
NNNHK	Yes	1,344.52

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:39:10	BUY	No	0.9858187749	28	$27.20
03:31:57	BUY	No	0.9856842178	145	$142.84
03:15:04	BUY	Yes	0.018	50	$0.90
00:58:48	BUY	No	0.986	14	$14.29
00:22:25	BUY	No	0.9851996892	39	$38.04
23:02:10	BUY	No	0.985	8	$7.88
23:01:52	BUY	No	0.9859140735	106	$104.87
23:01:49	BUY	No	0.986	6	$6.34
23:01:49	BUY	No	0.986	10	$9.86
23:01:49	BUY	No	0.986	6	$6.31
22:26:30	BUY	No	0.986	3	$2.96
22:26:30	BUY	No	0.9859999997	6	$5.91
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.96
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.95
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.95
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.95
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.96
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.96
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.96
22:26:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.96
22:21:28	BUY	No	0.9859999993	3	$2.95
22:21:28	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.96
22:21:27	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.95
22:21:27	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.96
22:21:27	BUY	No	0.9849999967	3	$2.95