PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.006. Range 0.004 to 0.009. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0066,5196,519
0.0076,17312,692
0.0086,11818,810
0.0101,14319,953
0.0122,20522,159
0.0136,77728,936
0.0142,32231,258
0.01520031,458
0.0166331,520
0.01712531,645
0.0181,49933,144
0.02063233,776

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00577,81277,812
0.0041,158,6591,236,471
0.0031,516,5382,753,009
0.0022,682,5055,435,514
0.0011,300,5456,736,059

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99577,81277,812
0.9961,158,6591,236,471
0.9971,516,5382,753,009
0.9982,682,5055,435,514
0.9991,300,5456,736,059

Spread0.001Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9946,5196,519
0.9936,17312,692
0.9926,11818,810
0.9901,14319,953
0.9882,20522,159
0.9876,77728,936
0.9862,32231,258
0.98520031,458
0.9846331,520
0.98312531,645
0.9821,49933,144
0.98063233,776

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
foodenjoyerYes315,276.65
truthtellerYes62,717.29
balthazarYes34,814.31
lastminwinYes29,999.99
lissartterYes27,341.13
WorkingIsBadYes25,086.56
Tender-Series3Yes25,000
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396Yes22,650.59
DildoPhagginsYes21,989.37
SEK.IIIYes20,000
Samson01Yes18,935.71
HolyMoses7Yes15,609.88
MassivelyBrokenYes14,285.72
0x72bef8cce1E5153DC1e9B2ab6Cd6C4D0873D9613-1771818248526Yes11,423
0x43A1456aEE736879e3aB8BB7BDC7dB8933B4a6B8-1751555690740Yes10,347.05
ZD-ELO-M3Yes9,999.99
fishcolorYes8,485.04
andrisChYes8,201.19
ATCapitalYes7,163.7
0xa0f2…1848Yes7,128.31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:17:25SELLNo0.9949$8.70
20:17:15BUYNo0.9959$9.00
20:17:00SELLNo0.9949$9.09
20:16:52BUYNo0.9959$9.00
20:16:39SELLNo0.9949$9.04
20:16:34BUYNo0.9959$9.09
20:16:30SELLNo0.9949$9.04
20:16:25BUYNo0.9959$9.09
20:16:21SELLNo0.9949$9.04
20:16:12BUYNo0.9959$9.00
20:15:58SELLNo0.9949$8.99
20:15:55BUYNo0.9959$9.04
20:15:49SELLNo0.9949$8.99
20:15:43BUYNo0.9959$9.00
19:41:42BUYYes0.006170$1.02
18:31:46BUYYes0.0061,333$8.00
15:16:18BUYYes0.006333$2.00
15:06:06SELLYes0.006687$4.12
14:41:18BUYYes0.007253$1.77
14:28:57BUYYes0.007680$4.76
13:55:00BUYYes0.0071,429$10.00
13:14:00BUYYes0.008479$3.83
12:11:39BUYYes0.008875$7.00
11:34:34BUYYes0.0085,190$41.52
11:28:00BUYNo0.99498$97.35