Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.046. down 0.064 over the period, from 0.110. Range 0.041 to 0.120. 95 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.047	15	15
0.048	10	25
0.052	10	35
0.053	387	422
0.054	80	502
0.064	500	1,002
0.066	45	1,047
0.067	620	1,667
0.099	50	1,717
0.100	20	1,737
0.138	100	1,837
0.139	100	1,937

Spread0.001Mid0.046

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.046	360	360
0.045	1,000	1,360
0.040	86	1,446
0.035	150	1,596
0.033	630	2,226
0.032	95	2,321
0.031	1,100	3,421
0.030	2,170	5,591
0.021	1,000	6,591
0.020	2,635	9,227
0.012	24	9,251
0.011	300	9,551

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.954	360	360
0.955	1,000	1,360
0.960	86	1,446
0.965	150	1,596
0.967	630	2,226
0.968	95	2,321
0.969	1,100	3,421
0.970	2,170	5,591
0.979	1,000	6,591
0.980	2,635	9,227
0.988	24	9,251
0.989	300	9,551

Spread0.001Mid0.954

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.953	15	15
0.952	10	25
0.948	10	35
0.947	387	422
0.946	80	502
0.936	500	1,002
0.934	45	1,047
0.933	620	1,667
0.901	50	1,717
0.900	20	1,737
0.862	100	1,837
0.861	100	1,937

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x967C8A52350b43A8E7B8ab250860D7CF1e042B0A-1767497531748	Yes	320.28
redpanda2025	Yes	160.73
Dakelynch	Yes	160.48
0x5CCfD6a813da36425564cbDD3ae4FCAf9fA51188-1768630718005	Yes	91.71
0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274	Yes	89.92
RektCitys	Yes	89.65
dsoisoij	Yes	30.33
AJSV	Yes	22.5
0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698	Yes	19.61
yahouhaha	Yes	16.83
planktonXD	Yes	10
Pahalde	Yes	7.14
Mojito9	Yes	7.14
0xa5ef…2966	No	979.49
cigarettes	No	40
xjsljfi	No	6.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:31:50	SELL	No	0.951	1	$1.01
03:31:00	BUY	No	0.954	10	$9.54
03:30:54	BUY	Yes	0.0509999494	20	$1.00
11:08:42	BUY	No	0.966	10	$9.66
11:08:41	BUY	No	0.966	41	$39.61
11:07:21	BUY	No	0.967	10	$9.67
11:07:21	BUY	No	0.967	15	$14.17
11:07:18	BUY	No	0.967	10	$9.67
11:07:18	BUY	No	0.967	45	$43.52
11:07:17	BUY	No	0.9669999994	9	$8.22
11:07:15	BUY	No	0.96615	10	$9.66
10:59:15	BUY	Yes	0.0622147876	161	$10.00
00:59:30	BUY	Yes	0.0623145344	160	$10.00
16:01:00	BUY	Yes	0.0624451718	320	$20.00
14:56:54	SELL	No	0.939	1	$1.06
14:55:15	BUY	No	0.9679996339	1	$1.10
12:56:03	BUY	Yes	0.0594058859	17	$1.00
11:36:20	BUY	Yes	0.0600806891	92	$5.51
11:35:05	BUY	No	0.9699999997	70	$67.89
11:35:05	BUY	No	0.97	10	$9.70
14:24:09	BUY	No	0.94	10	$9.40
13:22:18	BUY	No	0.94	20	$18.80
13:22:17	SELL	Yes	0.08	3	$0.20
13:22:15	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
12:03:26	BUY	Yes	0.07	10	$0.70