DildoPhaggins
0xb643b1fdf38d7f8a886f0efb14099f27fc3f637f
- Realised P&L
- $-870.00
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $39.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.772 | 0.695 | $11.9k | −$1.3k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.652 | 0.705 | $11.7k | +$875.48 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.275 | $7.0k | +$886.11 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.715 | $6.1k | +$42.50 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.640 | 0.635 | $1.5k | −$10.85 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.600 | 0.715 | $894.62 | +$143.89 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $120.94 | −$32.98 |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Texas? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.095 | $29.83 | +$14.13 |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.067 | $0.26 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$564.78at 0.950Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$360.00at 0.928Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$348.96at 0.410Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$9.96at 0.998Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.67 | $513.39 |
| 11-01 15:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.67 | $645.44 |
| 11-01 15:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.68 | $118.96 |
| 10-30 15:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $111.00 |
| 10-30 15:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $13.93 |
| 10-29 22:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.41 | $779.92 |
| 10-28 16:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 10-28 16:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $600.00 |
| 10-28 16:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.0k |
| 10-28 01:40 | Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $924.60 |
| 10-28 01:38 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.928 | $4.6k |