0x72bef8cce1E5153DC1e9B2ab6Cd6C4D0873D9613-1771818248526
0x72bef8cce1e5153dc1e9b2ab6cd6c4d0873d9613
- Realised P&L
- $-12.1k
- Volume
- $307.4k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.421Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$1.3kat 0.775Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$559.36at 0.862Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$246.92at 0.908Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$136.44at 0.932France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.9878004443 | $49.50 |
| 10-31 00:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $25.61 |
| 10-30 14:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.89 |
| 10-30 04:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $156.00 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0209938417 | $25.19 |
| 10-29 00:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $182.04 |
| 10-29 00:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.6k |
| 10-28 05:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-27 23:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.022 | $105.92 |
| 10-27 23:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0409485583 | $49.14 |
| 10-27 22:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.022 | $26.40 |
| 10-27 22:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.038 | $19.04 |
| 10-27 08:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.027 | $32.40 |
| 10-27 08:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.20 |
| 10-26 04:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.028 | $16.80 |