PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.29. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.25 to 0.29. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.30329329
0.31120449
0.32120569
0.33409977
0.341771,154
0.35501,204
0.363491,553
0.381101,663
0.392201,883
0.40571,940
0.502602,200
0.51252,225

Spread0.02Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28413413
0.27243656
0.26239894
0.255001,394
0.24501,444
0.213051,749
0.1651,754
0.1351,759
0.101051,864
0.091622,026
0.081,8373,863
0.0714,86318,726

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72413413
0.73243656
0.74239894
0.755001,394
0.76501,444
0.793051,749
0.8451,754
0.8751,759
0.901051,864
0.911622,026
0.921,8373,863
0.9314,86318,726

Spread0.02Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.70329329
0.69120449
0.68120569
0.67409977
0.661771,154
0.65501,204
0.643491,553
0.621101,663
0.612201,883
0.60571,940
0.502602,200
0.49252,225

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GayPrideYes1,504.25
andy29Yes930.39
GUINESS123Yes896
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes529.19
RadioCCODYes500
Gmoney16Yes456.88
SitsToPeeYes423.96
johnnath1222Yes219.48
CompulsiveGamblerYes200
bananabreakfastYes148.82
Contestable-ParfaitYes110.55
LornaPredictsYes107.36
awgraewrfaYes70.22
peepeepooppoopYes66.66
OklmntraderYes57.47
human.beanYes53.79
EchelonprtYes50
0x8357321c607743b605da9ea26b601c76C786B6A6-1760814661287Yes37
Mojito9Yes30
ElechYes28.59

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:46:57BUYYes0.29999999417$5.00
01:09:51BUYNo0.7330$21.90
21:58:49BUYYes0.2915$4.48
21:49:25BUYYes0.2913$3.68
19:41:40BUYYes0.2879$22.24
18:53:49BUYYes0.2825$7.11
18:26:13BUYYes0.2816$4.43
07:06:37SELLYes0.275$1.48
07:05:54SELLYes0.276$1.49
07:05:49BUYNo0.736$4.01
07:05:49BUYNo0.735$3.65
07:05:49BUYNo0.736$4.38
19:07:31BUYYes0.2725$6.75
23:42:59BUYYes0.2710$2.75
13:25:44SELLNo0.7215$10.80
13:25:39BUYYes0.2715$4.05
19:25:39BUYNo0.7521$15.75
19:25:39SELLYes0.2521$5.25
17:30:59BUYYes0.2523$5.69
17:11:12BUYYes0.2634$8.74
17:10:42BUYNo0.7440$29.67
13:50:35SELLNo0.7320$14.60
13:50:18SELLNo0.7320$14.60
13:50:17BUYYes0.2691$23.71
13:50:17BUYYes0.265916666724$6.38