PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.032. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.031. Range 0.018 to 0.041. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.035106106
0.03620126
0.037100226
0.03920246
0.04020266
0.04219285
0.052401686
0.05919705
0.0602,0002,705
0.065252,730
0.0702,0004,730
0.071154,745

Spread0.007Mid0.032

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.028912912
0.00720932
0.0065201,452
0.0053151,767
0.004211,788
0.0033662,153
0.0025442,697
0.0017,1489,846

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.972912912
0.99320932
0.9945201,452
0.9953151,767
0.996211,788
0.9973662,153
0.9985442,697
0.9997,1489,846

Spread0.007Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.965106106
0.96420126
0.963100226
0.96120246
0.96020266
0.95819285
0.948401686
0.94119705
0.9402,0002,705
0.935252,730
0.9302,0004,730
0.929154,745

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
andy29Yes1,157.68
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes813.53
cowcatYes473
parabasmamakinasiYes400.97
SitsToPeeYes265.61
RadioCCODYes261.97
AJSVYes222.67
buyrightbakeYes200
BSS37Yes128.36
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes106.36
villa20Yes93.06
Biver52Yes91.08
LornaPredictsYes59.8
human.beanYes48.54
EiaYes31.91
0x7009…390aYes30
planktonXDYes20
neverhackmeYes16.76
animal.beanYes12.51
ffsFsfqYes9.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:24:53BUYNo0.97220$19.44
18:21:14BUYNo0.9725$4.86
18:01:47BUYNo0.97223$22.41
15:10:33BUYNo0.9725$4.86
22:49:04SELLYes0.02830$0.84
19:09:08BUYNo0.97210$9.72
12:43:46BUYNo0.9895$4.95
21:40:40BUYNo0.9920$19.80
19:48:12BUYNo0.9920$19.80
19:45:55BUYNo0.99230$29.76
22:01:43BUYYes0.02810$0.29
19:22:37BUYYes0.0287$0.19
18:44:58BUYNo0.99210$9.92
18:44:58BUYNo0.99217$16.87
20:03:16SELLYes0.01864881870$1.31
18:52:38BUYYes0.02940$1.16
18:24:05BUYNo0.9840$39.20
17:54:14BUYNo0.9899$96.53
17:54:13BUYNo0.9810$9.80
17:54:01BUYNo0.985$4.90
17:34:02SELLYes0.00513$0.07
13:12:14BUYNo0.9955$4.97
04:21:07BUYNo0.99110$9.91
19:53:11BUYNo0.9828$7.50
09:53:03BUYNo0.98120$19.62