PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.030. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.033. Range 0.030 to 0.040. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.031551551
0.0329560
0.033200760
0.03720780
0.03850830
0.03920850
0.04420870
0.04510880
0.046100980
0.0475601,540
0.050201,560
0.052501,610

Spread0.001Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.030104104
0.02476180
0.023121301
0.0229111,212
0.0162001,412
0.0092001,612
0.0052171,829
0.0048522,681
0.0031,1583,839
0.0022,3686,207
0.0012,2598,466

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.970104104
0.97676180
0.977121301
0.9789111,212
0.9842001,412
0.9912001,612
0.9952171,829
0.9968522,681
0.9971,1583,839
0.9982,3686,207
0.9992,2598,466

Spread0.001Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.969551551
0.9689560
0.967200760
0.96320780
0.96250830
0.96120850
0.95620870
0.95510880
0.954100980
0.9535601,540
0.950201,560
0.948501,610

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ocpnaYes1,806.85
0x51b9…86eaYes1,430.99
andy29Yes821.18
0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992Yes600.39
parabasmamakinasiYes573.63
xtxpleasecallmeYes346.25
ittgnitoYes313.34
LornaPredictsYes171.99
EiaYes149.69
SitsToPeeYes121.06
BSS37Yes100
test.saveliyb.testYes96.07
TTdesYes93.5
Biver52Yes90.65
villa20Yes89.06
nufonehudis67Yes86
MuchAdo2BRN2BYes76.19
awgraewrfaYes70.22
human.beanYes68.07
cosmicsteaksYes63

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:39:21BUYNo0.96999998782$1.59
22:37:57BUYNo0.9694852732400$388.00
21:09:21BUYNo0.96899999565$4.84
20:42:12BUYNo0.9671,000$967.00
16:01:36BUYNo0.966169$163.05
15:55:39SELLYes0.03473$2.48
15:22:13BUYNo0.9659999999176$169.76
14:09:55SELLNo0.96310$9.62
14:09:16BUYNo0.96499999710$9.66
13:52:39SELLNo0.96310$9.62
13:52:30BUYNo0.9649999975$4.83
13:52:21BUYNo0.9649999975$4.83
01:09:51BUYNo0.96511630$28.95
07:05:49BUYNo0.9586$5.27
07:05:49BUYNo0.9586$5.75
07:05:49BUYNo0.9585$4.79
07:02:09BUYYes0.041519480577$3.20
19:29:30BUYYes0.040999999824$1.00
16:02:25SELLYes0.03410$0.34
07:05:51BUYYes0.04112$0.49
00:45:12BUYNo0.963306$294.21
19:34:27SELLYes0.037101$3.74
14:34:37BUYNo0.963193$186.33
14:34:34BUYNo0.963200$192.60
14:34:31BUYNo0.963200$192.60