TTdes
0x25867077c891354137bbaf7fde12eec6949cc893
- Realised P&L
- $165.8k
- Volume
- $4.76M
- Markets traded
- 1,233
- Open portfolio
- $25.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,233
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.9kat 0.099Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.6kat 0.413Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
- +$14.7kat 0.524Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$14.5kat 0.420Rangers vs. Jets
- +$13.9kat 0.570Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:14 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.4 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 13:33 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $350.00 |
| 09-09 09:02 | Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.97 | $872.03 |
| 09-08 05:57 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.68 | $408.00 |
| 09-07 06:55 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.74 | $807.20 |
| 09-07 05:27 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.7 | $17.43 |
| 09-07 04:38 | Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.14 | $490.00 |
| 09-04 03:38 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.19 |
| 08-24 13:56 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.4 | $418.72 |
| 08-23 07:18 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.66 | $2.3k |
| 08-21 12:49 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $30.86 |
| 08-20 12:03 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.49 | $6.7k |
| 08-18 16:08 | Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.4382231667 | $262.93 |
| 08-16 16:55 | Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $561.00 |
| 08-16 12:51 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $506.00 |