PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TTdes

0x25867077c891354137bbaf7fde12eec6949cc893

Realised P&L
$165.8k
Volume
$4.76M
Markets traded
1,233
Open portfolio
$25.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,233
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$11.3k+$1.3k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7000.895$6.2k+$1.3k
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.3690.395$2.1k+$139.22
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7900.815$1.2k+$37.72
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3440.395$1.2k+$149.81
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.350$1.1k$270.00
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.8400.915$786.93+$64.50
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8210.915$593.46+$60.92
Will Trump resign before 2027? · No0.9610.968$255.08+$1.71
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.2000.145$163.03$61.84
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? · No0.4500.455$59.80+$0.66
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20? · No0.4200.435$0.75+$0.03
Red Wings vs. Senators · Senators0.5700.000$0.00$48.45
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13? · No0.4200.000$0.00$220.60
Bruins vs. Sabres · Sabres0.5900.000$0.00$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:14San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.4$300.00
09-09 13:33St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5BUY0.5$350.00
09-09 09:02Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.97$872.03
09-08 05:57US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaBUY0.68$408.00
09-07 06:55US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBUY0.74$807.20
09-07 05:27Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.7$17.43
09-07 04:38Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.14$490.00
09-04 03:38Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.42$5.19
08-24 13:56Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?BUY0.4$418.72
08-23 07:18Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.66$2.3k
08-21 12:49Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5BUY0.52$30.86
08-20 12:03Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.49$6.7k
08-18 16:08Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5BUY0.4382231667$262.93
08-16 16:55Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5BUY0.51$561.00
08-16 12:51St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5BUY0.46$506.00