PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 30%-35%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.270. down 0.031 over the period, from 0.301. Range 0.263 to 0.387. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2802020
0.2812646
0.290100146
0.29930176
0.302144320
0.36915335
0.46030365
0.46120385
0.4645390
0.58695485
0.58720505
0.747197702

Spread0.021Mid0.270

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2598080
0.25826106
0.25540146
0.245114260
0.24128289
0.240144433
0.061283716
0.06033,33334,049
0.05050,00084,049
0.031684,055
0.03083,333167,388
0.020150,020317,408

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7418080
0.74226106
0.74540146
0.755114260
0.75928289
0.760144433
0.939283716
0.94033,33334,049
0.95050,00084,049
0.969684,055
0.97083,333167,388
0.980150,020317,408

Spread0.021Mid0.730

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7202020
0.7192646
0.710100146
0.70130176
0.698144320
0.63115335
0.54030365
0.53920385
0.5365390
0.41495485
0.41320505
0.253197702

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes260.4
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlYes184.1
shiifooYes40
cloverpmq2Yes20
LornaPredictsYes17
pppnnYes10
HaradwaithYes5
0xa5ef…2966No155.19
resilience26No144
AnonymousUsernameNo138
cigarettesNo60
lolzzzlolNo20
PolimakiNo19.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:16:32BUYYes0.27120$5.42
10:54:17BUYYes0.27620$5.52
10:54:15BUYYes0.271158$42.82
10:53:17SELLYes0.2415$1.21
10:53:14SELLYes0.2515$3.75
10:53:05BUYNo0.7420$14.80
10:53:05BUYNo0.7420$14.80
10:53:05BUYNo0.7420$14.80
04:13:15BUYNo0.73510$7.35
04:13:15BUYNo0.73499998755$3.82
04:13:15BUYNo0.7355$3.67
21:03:03BUYYes0.27920$5.58
12:24:53BUYNo0.727520$14.55
12:24:53BUYNo0.725$3.60
12:24:53BUYNo0.7220$14.40
10:04:27BUYNo0.71920$14.38
03:10:11BUYNo0.71710$7.17
07:26:09BUYYes0.30420$6.08
07:26:09BUYYes0.28220$5.64
03:21:59BUYYes0.25434$8.64
03:16:37BUYNo0.69842$29.24
19:29:09BUYYes0.27820$5.56
12:19:26BUYYes0.2489$21.36
12:45:42BUYYes0.164914780375$12.39
14:10:20BUYNo0.88520$17.70