PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 45%-50%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.36. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.28 to 0.40. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39387387
0.40162549
0.4320569
0.4430599
0.4655654
0.58195849
0.5970919
0.7070989
0.717996
0.764001,396
0.772171,613
0.7891,622

Spread0.05Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.34252252
0.33217469
0.3220489
0.2920509
0.2027536
0.13249785
0.1021806
0.0825,00025,806
0.0641,66767,473
0.0462,500129,973
0.036129,979
0.02150,000279,979

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.66252252
0.67217469
0.6820489
0.7120509
0.8027536
0.87249785
0.9021806
0.9225,00025,806
0.9441,66767,473
0.9662,500129,973
0.976129,979
0.98150,000279,979

Spread0.05Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61387387
0.60162549
0.5720569
0.5630599
0.5455654
0.42195849
0.4170919
0.3070989
0.297996
0.244001,396
0.232171,613
0.2291,622

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fkpajeets148840Yes495.72
AJSVYes123.87
HyphenFroxYes99.17
FihdrzgddYes90
LornaPredictsYes41
LucerysYes1.96
0xa5ef…2966No558.5
pootytherewardfarmerNo104
cigarettesNo54.85
tradetosurvive1No40
aliizNo27
ViscaElBarcaNo20
PolimakiNo19.99
maomao228No19.99
BobbyBakedBeansNo3.19
OmeadAzadehNo2.2
monoclithNo2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:45:58BUYNo0.62120$74.40
11:11:54BUYYes0.3920$7.80
10:02:48BUYYes0.29180$52.20
11:54:04BUYNo0.6740$26.80
11:15:56BUYNo0.6715$9.95
16:39:48BUYNo0.679999983815$10.06
16:39:48BUYNo0.67999994595$3.52
16:39:47BUYNo0.685$3.52
16:39:47BUYNo0.679999981115$10.07
16:39:47BUYNo0.67999994595$3.52
16:39:47BUYNo0.6815$10.08
19:55:46BUYNo0.6640$26.40
23:42:08BUYYes0.3160$18.60
19:05:57BUYNo0.6720$13.40
19:00:50BUYNo0.6757$38.06
09:41:08BUYYes0.2940$11.60
07:58:54SELLNo0.6920$13.80
17:39:06BUYYes0.2940$11.60
06:40:14SELLYes0.283$0.89
00:02:57SELLYes0.273$0.86
00:02:47SELLYes0.273$0.86
15:07:42SELLYes0.283$0.89
14:37:42SELLYes0.283$0.89
03:51:33SELLNo0.6520$13.00
03:51:21SELLNo0.6920$13.80