PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.49. down 0.08 over the period, from 0.57. Range 0.16 to 0.72. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60158158
0.61177335
0.835340
0.8720360
0.899441,304
0.901401,444
0.917502,194
0.93402,234
0.9552,239
0.97112,249
0.98202,269
0.99272,296

Spread0.21Mid0.49

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.394141
0.31297338
0.2920358
0.1010368
0.061,6662,034
0.051372,171
0.04102,181
0.02702,251
0.01262,276

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.614141
0.69297338
0.7120358
0.9010368
0.941,6662,034
0.951372,171
0.96102,181
0.98702,251
0.99262,276

Spread0.21Mid0.51

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40158158
0.39177335
0.175340
0.1320360
0.119441,304
0.101401,444
0.097502,194
0.07402,234
0.0552,239
0.03112,249
0.02202,269
0.01272,296

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HDGBYes2,070.12
GotGreenWoodYes328.8
xtxpleasecallmeYes145.03
FihdrzgddYes100
financegaaaydogYes69.51
ghorrockYes46.06
GuyFromTinderYes40.27
robinsonmariaYes19.05
asdfasd11Yes10
lll918ddYes10
0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788Yes10
0x50ab…edf4Yes4.26
NoSteinNoGateNo1,070.95
nj23adsknml3No990
just-bettorNo157.15
hp210210No143
mavsgseguritasNo80
LornaPredictsNo70
thecaricatureNo50
johncashiNo50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:37:27BUYNo0.569999988618$10.00
16:18:42SELLNo0.570$0.06
15:50:09SELLYes0.360$0.01
15:50:04BUYNo0.6418$11.44
15:50:03BUYNo0.6418$11.37
15:44:01BUYNo0.589999989434$20.00
14:40:55BUYYes0.420171412220$8.55
14:40:55BUYYes0.440559432919$8.40
14:40:55BUYYes0.460$24.00
14:18:06SELLYes0.3834$12.87
07:31:57SELLNo0.590$0.04
06:40:45SELLNo0.569$5.18
06:40:43BUYNo0.64999988185$3.30
06:40:42BUYNo0.655$3.25
04:39:52BUYYes0.34999998834$1.49
04:39:52BUYYes0.349999992634$11.86
04:38:24BUYYes0.3313$4.29
04:38:18BUYYes0.3337$12.21
14:48:51BUYYes0.359999990617$6.14
14:36:52BUYNo0.6320$12.61
13:05:31BUYYes0.2820$5.60
12:55:30BUYYes0.2670$18.20
05:48:57SELLNo0.728573214356$40.80
04:21:37SELLYes0.371999310658$21.58
00:09:25SELLNo0.5930$17.70