robinsonmaria
0xeee0bc673804b1c54142c305aa0b1367a887cfdb
- Realised P&L
- $-12.56
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $18.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.665 | $18.09 | +$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.66at 0.540Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$8.52at 0.750Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$5.03at 0.999Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?
- +$4.15at 0.592Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?
- +$3.37at 0.790Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 06:29 | Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? | BUY | 0.584999969 | $5.95 |
| 01-31 13:54 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.09 |
| 01-30 15:17 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.96 |
| 01-30 15:00 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.06 |
| 01-30 12:52 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.70 |
| 01-30 11:44 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.41 |
| 12-30 14:00 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 12-30 00:06 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.05 |
| 12-29 20:47 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999847 | $29.52 |
| 12-29 18:38 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.43 |
| 10-31 15:04 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.90 |
| 10-30 18:43 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.15 |
| 10-08 00:32 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $11.31 |
| 09-29 17:52 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999952 | $18.38 |
| 09-29 06:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999819 | $14.72 |