PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.44. Range 0.34 to 0.63. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.37145145
0.3840185
0.4185270
0.5125295
0.5930325
0.7320345
0.7730375
0.967382
0.9766448
0.9820468
0.9958526

Spread0.06Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.316060
0.263090
0.2220110
0.1115125
0.10100225
0.0920245
0.0313258
0.0158316

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.696060
0.743090
0.7820110
0.8915125
0.90100225
0.9120245
0.9713258
0.9958316

Spread0.06Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.63145145
0.6240185
0.5985270
0.4925295
0.4130325
0.2720345
0.2330375
0.047382
0.0366448
0.0220468
0.0158526

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
pootytherewardfarmerYes105
GuyFromTinderYes90
POB1Yes85.79
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862Yes85.18
tradetosurvive1Yes80.63
0xbada…d874Yes76.04
MrYanDaoYes55
AJSVYes31.17
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
WarriorHYes25
pppnnYes20.01
gavinfundaYes20
spacexstarYes19
ScoopdewhoopYes15
PerformSleepStateYes10
infoowlYes10
.heartYes9.98
Started-with-20-USDNo301.01
2B9SNo206.9
HDGBNo179

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:55:54BUYNo0.5861452514179$104.92
20:36:21SELLYes0.4220$8.40
20:17:58BUYYes0.4310$4.30
20:17:58BUYYes0.4310$4.30
20:17:57BUYYes0.429999964910$4.29
20:17:55BUYYes0.4310$4.30
20:17:55BUYYes0.4310$4.30
16:11:57BUYYes0.4335$14.97
15:15:00BUYNo0.585$2.90
10:41:49SELLYes0.4520$9.00
10:38:13SELLYes0.2610$2.60
10:37:40SELLYes0.5320$10.60
10:37:37SELLYes0.5520$10.99
10:37:31BUYNo0.4314364641362$156.18
23:56:01SELLYes0.5816$9.26
23:56:00SELLYes0.594$2.38
20:13:42BUYNo0.451$20.57
19:43:10BUYNo0.409999987516$6.54
11:57:21SELLNo0.281$0.28
06:12:45BUYYes0.4231$13.07
06:10:46SELLYes0.4320$8.60
03:23:12SELLYes0.4330$13.04
00:27:37SELLYes0.4320$8.60
20:00:00SELLYes0.4311$4.63
18:59:39SELLYes0.432$0.89