Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.099 | 1,219 | 1,219 |
| 0.100 | 600 | 1,819 |
| 0.101 | 550 | 2,369 |
| 0.103 | 530 | 2,899 |
| 0.104 | 633 | 3,532 |
| 0.106 | 220 | 3,752 |
| 0.107 | 1,375 | 5,128 |
| 0.109 | 440 | 5,568 |
| 0.110 | 1,000 | 6,568 |
| 0.113 | 574 | 7,142 |
| 0.114 | 200 | 7,342 |
| 0.119 | 220 | 7,562 |
Spread0.012Mid0.093
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.087 | 130 | 130 |
| 0.086 | 550 | 680 |
| 0.083 | 530 | 1,210 |
| 0.082 | 703 | 1,913 |
| 0.080 | 242 | 2,155 |
| 0.077 | 1,044 | 3,199 |
| 0.073 | 874 | 4,073 |
| 0.070 | 258 | 4,330 |
| 0.068 | 109 | 4,439 |
| 0.067 | 220 | 4,659 |
| 0.064 | 2,158 | 6,817 |
| 0.063 | 51 | 6,868 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.913 | 130 | 130 |
| 0.914 | 550 | 680 |
| 0.917 | 530 | 1,210 |
| 0.918 | 703 | 1,913 |
| 0.920 | 242 | 2,155 |
| 0.923 | 1,044 | 3,199 |
| 0.927 | 874 | 4,073 |
| 0.930 | 258 | 4,330 |
| 0.932 | 109 | 4,439 |
| 0.933 | 220 | 4,659 |
| 0.936 | 2,158 | 6,817 |
| 0.937 | 51 | 6,868 |
Spread0.012Mid0.907
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.901 | 1,219 | 1,219 |
| 0.900 | 600 | 1,819 |
| 0.899 | 550 | 2,369 |
| 0.897 | 530 | 2,899 |
| 0.896 | 633 | 3,532 |
| 0.894 | 220 | 3,752 |
| 0.893 | 1,375 | 5,128 |
| 0.891 | 440 | 5,568 |
| 0.890 | 1,000 | 6,568 |
| 0.887 | 574 | 7,142 |
| 0.886 | 200 | 7,342 |
| 0.881 | 220 | 7,562 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| t4zuwbigfjnrs | Yes | 2,239 |
| variant1.meta | Yes | 951.88 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 803.97 |
| ltd.bloom | Yes | 375.27 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 141.87 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 130 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 63 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
| richyee | Yes | 50 |
| sbimbg | Yes | 48.52 |
| mavsgseguritas | Yes | 40.99 |
| Polimaki | Yes | 20 |
| ViscaElBarca | Yes | 20 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 20 |
| lissartter | Yes | 13.77 |
| chaosj89 | Yes | 12.68 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| lll918dd | Yes | 10 |
| asdfasdf11 | Yes | 10 |
| winnertakeitall | Yes | 9.35 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:17:16 | SELL | No | 0.901 | 23 | $20.70 |
| 10:17:10 | SELL | No | 0.901 | 50 | $45.05 |
| 10:14:54 | SELL | No | 0.906 | 50 | $45.30 |
| 10:12:43 | SELL | No | 0.902 | 0 | $0.02 |
| 10:12:37 | BUY | Yes | 0.0939999992 | 73 | $6.86 |
| 10:12:37 | BUY | Yes | 0.093 | 133 | $12.37 |
| 01:53:29 | BUY | No | 0.922 | 5 | $4.61 |
| 01:47:00 | BUY | No | 0.9209999885 | 4 | $3.86 |
| 01:47:00 | BUY | No | 0.915 | 124 | $113.46 |
| 17:33:53 | SELL | No | 0.9032 | 50 | $45.16 |
| 17:33:51 | BUY | Yes | 0.08888313 | 804 | $71.46 |
| 17:33:50 | BUY | Yes | 0.094 | 50 | $4.70 |
| 15:10:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.081 | 54 | $4.37 |
| 14:27:18 | SELL | Yes | 0.0775 | 40 | $3.10 |
| 14:27:17 | SELL | Yes | 0.079 | 50 | $3.95 |
| 14:27:09 | SELL | Yes | 0.079 | 40 | $3.16 |
| 14:25:08 | SELL | Yes | 0.082 | 20 | $1.64 |
| 14:24:48 | SELL | Yes | 0.0872111554 | 502 | $43.78 |
| 14:24:47 | BUY | No | 0.917 | 40 | $36.68 |
| 14:24:47 | BUY | No | 0.918 | 20 | $18.36 |
| 14:24:47 | BUY | Yes | 0.085 | 40 | $3.40 |
| 00:27:41 | SELL | Yes | 0.105 | 8 | $0.84 |
| 00:03:47 | BUY | Yes | 0.106999993 | 9 | $1.00 |
| 00:03:45 | SELL | Yes | 0.1053758462 | 65 | $6.85 |
| 21:56:09 | BUY | Yes | 0.1049465189 | 903 | $94.80 |