winnertakeitall
0xa9607707e0cda37aaabf704b2d1d5862968faef8
- Realised P&L
- $-92.87
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $152.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.73at 0.119Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$32.46at 0.286Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$32.18at 0.276Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$31.57at 0.327Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
- +$28.07at 0.154Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 10:53 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 10:53 | Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 10:52 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 10:52 | Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 08:28 | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 08:28 | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 07:52 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 07:52 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 07:10 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.968 | $2.99 |
| 10-13 07:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.9689997597 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 06:41 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999739 | $2.57 |
| 10-12 23:53 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 23:29 | Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 21:46 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5249999738 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 21:43 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.66899999 | $3.00 |