ltd.bloom
0x70534cdcc18af8b7e0f11e74faade4f2cbd96444
- Realised P&L
- $-163.72
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $234.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.205 | $61.50 | −$2.66 |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.075 | $49.37 | −$70.79 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.033 | $44.02 | −$16.05 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.093 | $34.90 | −$5.28 |
| Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.011 | $19.54 | −$136.32 |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $15.50 | +$0.38 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.040 | $6.36 | −$30.98 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.250 | 0.255 | $3.67 | +$0.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.77at 0.350Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?
- +$-0.62at 0.188Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
- +$-4.76at 0.522Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
- +$-9.00at 0.230Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
- +$-10.13at 0.050Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 05:32 | Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.47 |
| 10-23 12:16 | Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0322124145 | $38.65 |
| 10-23 11:56 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027? | BUY | 0.4226864944 | $34.68 |
| 10-23 11:56 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $86.79 |
| 10-23 11:10 | Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0257523808 | $2.60 |