PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.14 to 0.62. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.512020
0.88241261
0.9820281
0.9960341

Spread0.34Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.172020
0.11525
0.102146
0.031662
0.02108170
0.0165236

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.832020
0.89525
0.902146
0.971662
0.98108170
0.9965236

Spread0.34Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.492020
0.12241261
0.0220281
0.0160341

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes346.22
tradetosurvive1Yes20
GuyFromTinderYes18.96
grinder1011Yes10
HardRock08Yes4.2
UpTheStairsYes1.04
cigarettesNo119.04
timeistmoneyNo100
cookedquailNo65.2
johnashboughNo30
PCMTestNo25
4salesNo23
youtube-traderNo20
plytest2No5.09
ply-top3-clost-twetNo5.09
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519No5
tacorNo3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:26:25BUYYes0.125$0.60
18:27:58SELLNo0.6420$12.80
18:26:55BUYNo0.685$3.40
18:26:49BUYNo0.6820$13.60
09:17:17BUYYes0.3760$22.20
09:00:22BUYNo0.6920$13.80
09:00:20BUYNo0.6920$13.80
00:59:32BUYYes0.385$1.90
14:50:44BUYYes0.3920$7.80
14:50:39BUYNo0.6620$13.20
11:27:44BUYYes0.435$13.98
09:31:15BUYNo0.6420$12.80
09:30:34BUYNo0.6337$23.31
09:26:54BUYYes0.3710$3.70
08:04:57BUYYes0.3510$3.50
06:53:45BUYYes0.3120$36.00
21:28:06BUYYes0.2510$2.54
15:25:29BUYNo0.716257668765$46.70
15:21:21BUYYes0.3121$36.30
12:38:03SELLYes0.2620$5.20
12:37:18SELLYes0.2620$5.20
12:35:47BUYNo0.7323$16.79
14:56:19BUYNo0.720$14.00
11:15:46SELLYes0.173$0.51
06:44:07BUYYes0.3120$6.20