ply-top3-clost-twet
0x0b4cd82afbda072e8139a1d6b4bc83d2e8ef4277
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $226.2k
- Markets traded
- 610
- Open portfolio
- $114.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded610
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.44at 0.401Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Group C
- +$42.27at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?
- +$27.67at 0.580Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15?
- +$26.68at 0.136Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$25.41at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 05:06 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.74 |
| 10-31 18:27 | Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.90 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.08 |
| 10-31 17:05 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.997762279 | $5.08 |
| 10-31 03:14 | Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.12 |
| 10-30 21:27 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $26.92 |
| 10-30 13:21 | Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.9808893281 | $12.41 |
| 10-30 01:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.206 | $20.04 |
| 10-30 01:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.58 |
| 10-30 01:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.203 | $3.47 |
| 10-30 01:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $31.56 |
| 10-29 20:39 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.9808964218 | $20.83 |
| 10-29 02:49 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | SELL | 0.8618669002 | $4.92 |
| 10-28 17:07 | Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.0418917234 | $2.96 |
| 10-28 17:07 | Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $17.42 |