PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.65. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.80. Range 0.41 to 0.80. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7055
0.7195100
0.7750150
0.78239389
0.7915404
0.8520424
0.9040464
0.9320484
0.965489
0.9712501
0.98158659
0.9915674

Spread0.10Mid0.65

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60230230
0.5950280
0.557287
0.4950337
0.3020357
0.2640397
0.1613409
0.1020429
0.056435
0.047442
0.0220462
0.0124486

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40230230
0.4150280
0.457287
0.5150337
0.7020357
0.7440397
0.8413409
0.9020429
0.956435
0.967442
0.9820462
0.9924486

Spread0.10Mid0.35

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3055
0.2995100
0.2350150
0.22239389
0.2115404
0.1520424
0.1040464
0.0720484
0.045489
0.0312501
0.02158659
0.0115674

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HDGBYes269.52
Vagabund97Yes214.08
Dr.PNLYes139.32
odehsYes49.18
POB1Yes25.15
plytest2Yes21.54
smarterstratYes14.81
OndraNo364.18
tradetosurvive1No110
pootytherewardfarmerNo82
AJSVNo55.92
luccajalesNo50
0x4629…f3b1No30
gavinfundaNo20
maomao228No20
arrpadexNo1.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:34:21SELLNo0.38144$54.57
16:39:51SELLYes0.6420$12.80
16:34:15SELLYes0.6420$12.80
16:33:33SELLYes0.6440$25.60
16:03:03BUYYes0.614794282138$84.72
16:03:03BUYYes0.6320$12.60
16:02:54BUYYes0.609999998449$30.00
14:09:58BUYYes0.6120$12.20
14:04:25BUYYes0.5596$52.95
12:15:06SELLYes0.515$2.55
11:26:06SELLNo0.4220$8.40
11:18:28BUYYes0.4756396557270$128.19
05:11:51BUYYes0.4520$9.00
21:40:21SELLYes0.615$3.05
21:25:48SELLYes0.775$4.00
21:25:48BUYNo0.22999999720$4.59
21:25:46BUYNo0.21508$106.63
21:25:46BUYNo0.2220$4.40