luccajales
0x3b6930e90b206755a20e89f7bae00588391e01d7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $93.7k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $325.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.82at 0.780Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.5T in 2026?
- +$1.07at 0.764Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
- +$0.69at 0.850Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns?
- +$0.56at 0.902Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
- +$0.50at 0.920Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:35 | Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.79 | $9.48 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | SELL | 0.071 | $3.55 |
| 09-17 22:34 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-17 22:34 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-17 22:34 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $48.65 |
| 09-17 19:21 | Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $47.05 |
| 09-17 15:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | SELL | 0.948 | $0.62 |
| 09-17 15:03 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.805396 | $40.27 |
| 09-17 15:02 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-17 15:02 | US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.99 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.81 | $3.71 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.853 | $42.65 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | SELL | 0.7992877321 | $30.56 |