PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.016. down 0.019 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.016 to 0.265. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.022120120
0.02650170
0.270500670
0.74040710
0.9838718
0.9908726
0.9962,4063,132
0.9979184,050
0.9981,4945,544
0.9992,0557,599

Spread0.012Mid0.016

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01088
0.002400408
0.001577985

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99088
0.998400408
0.999577985

Spread0.012Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.978120120
0.97450170
0.730500670
0.26040710
0.0178718
0.0108726
0.0042,4063,132
0.0039184,050
0.0021,4945,544
0.0012,0557,599

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes521.05
intelligence98Yes99.56
POB1Yes80.23
AJSVYes71.6
pppnnYes70
HaradwaithYes50
FihdrzgddYes45
procrypterYes40
PPMTYes30
tradetosurvive1Yes29.99
lifeisahighwayYes20
sdfsdfsdfsdf2Yes10.87
LaribobiboYes1.02
title1No476.95
Adventure142No327.94
MrYanDaoNo150.01
galhammermanNo61.13
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862No35.66
LMBYNo10
LornaPredictsNo6.53

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:36:31SELLNo0.98815$14.82
11:28:39BUYNo0.9776687284477$466.30
11:28:39BUYNo0.98850$49.40
10:22:49SELLNo0.96150$48.05
02:31:16BUYNo0.967999999961$59.17
23:35:58BUYNo0.96620$19.32
21:14:27SELLNo0.96650$48.30
14:20:46SELLYes0.0325$0.16
14:02:28SELLNo0.96720$19.34
13:11:31SELLNo0.96620$19.32
12:32:13BUYNo0.96710$9.67
10:43:04SELLNo0.9455$4.72
10:43:04BUYNo0.94699999845$4.74
21:53:31BUYNo0.94750$47.35
01:25:34SELLYes0.0351$0.04
01:13:36BUYNo0.89820$17.96
12:02:43SELLNo0.6110$0.16
18:48:40SELLYes0.0249$0.98
18:48:03BUYNo0.967999999549$47.53
17:12:36BUYNo0.97151$49.19
05:29:39BUYNo0.97799998831$1.00
01:26:54BUYNo0.9550$47.50
23:17:09BUYNo0.9650$48.00
22:25:49SELLYes0.0450$2.00
22:25:46BUYNo0.9550$47.50