PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-28

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.23 to 0.41. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.409595
0.4133128
0.4333162
0.545167
0.6010177
0.6160237
0.6527264
0.6645309
0.675314
0.7020334
0.7425359
0.755364

Spread0.25Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1555
0.14100105
0.107112
0.08100212
0.07100312
0.05100412
0.037419
0.0230449
0.01400849

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8555
0.86100105
0.907112
0.92100212
0.93100312
0.95100412
0.977419
0.9830449
0.99400849

Spread0.25Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.609595
0.5933128
0.5733162
0.465167
0.4010177
0.3960237
0.3527264
0.3445309
0.335314
0.3020334
0.2625359
0.255364

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
S888Yes140.52
cry.eth2Yes80.81
alidfYes54.57
CompulsiveGamblerYes52.72
AJSVYes49.99
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes33.48
Hugin-og-MuninYes20
52adsaYes14.54
0xb032…c16cYes12.18
snicYes7.14
human.beanYes5.01
0xe6ab…38fdYes5
animal.beanYes5
Mojito9Yes4.05
giochiYes3.45
0xwonYes3
FoolAndHisMoneyYes1.55
0xa5ef…2966No466.21
t57vk6tx8rwbNo15.89
GingerMcKennaNo10.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:04:34BUYNo0.75$3.50
01:06:09SELLYes0.151515458739$5.98
20:24:54BUYYes0.645$3.20
09:33:39SELLYes0.172$0.26
14:18:26BUYYes0.3110$3.10
18:20:04SELLYes0.115$0.55
18:19:55SELLYes0.3524$8.32
18:19:55SELLYes0.114$0.39
18:19:22SELLYes0.355$1.75
18:19:18BUYYes0.336$10.79
18:18:42BUYNo0.725$3.60
18:18:39BUYYes0.314$4.27
18:18:39BUYYes0.2718$4.81
16:39:12BUYYes0.28999986663$1.00
16:39:09BUYYes0.2920$5.80
16:27:34BUYYes0.137911832969$9.51
04:07:15SELLNo0.830$0.05
04:04:55SELLNo0.830$0.05
04:02:11SELLNo0.830$0.16
03:59:02SELLNo0.830$0.21
23:35:26BUYNo0.9215230$27.65
23:35:26BUYNo0.9532$30.50
16:55:34BUYNo0.940104159725$23.75
16:55:32BUYNo0.9525$23.75
01:12:52SELLYes0.0853$4.22